Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 82% (31/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 68% (21/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 31% (14/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 40% (10/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (46/70) | 75% (52/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (17/69) | 34% (24/70) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (63/139) | 55% (76/139) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 100% (11/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29.3% | Luciano Darderi
70.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.57) |
|
1.35 ↓
(1.42) |
5.3%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Darderi will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 51. Darderi is ranked ATP: 46.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 1.
- Ugo Carabelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Darderi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Luciano Darderi?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Luciano Darderi has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
16.05.2024
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Luciano Darderi
0:2
02.05.2024
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Luciano Darderi
0:2
09.11.2023
Luciano Darderi
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:0
02.11.2023
Luciano Darderi
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1:2
11.10.2022
Luciano Darderi
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Taberner C. | Herbert P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. | Poljicak M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Guillen Meza A. (Q) | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Kopriva V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Majchrzak K. (7) | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Dodig M. (WC) | Passaro F. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | |
| 13 | Carballes Baena R. (6) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Prizmic D. (WC) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tseng C. H. | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Taberner C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Navone M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kopriva V. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Passaro F. | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Basilashvili N. | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Tseng C. H. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | Dzumhur D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Taberner C. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
