Luciano Darderi vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Marrakech Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston
Result
2:1
03/04/2025 at 11:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
60%46%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (30/43)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)46% (23/50)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)73% (11/15)
1st Return Points Won
37% (16/43)44% (19/43)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (27/50)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)100% (3/3)
Winners
2326
Unforced Errors
3631
Net Points Won
57% (13/23)100% (10/10)
Service Points Won
61% (44/72)58% (55/95)
Return Points Won
42% (40/95)39% (28/72)
Total Points Won
50% (84/167)50% (83/167)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
07
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
56% (14/25)44% (11/25)

Chances of winning


Luciano Darderi
62%
Hugo Gaston
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.73)

    2.47
    (2.1)
    5.8%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 40%). Gaston (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.51%98.83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darderi is ranked ATP: 57. Gaston is ranked ATP: 84.
    • Darderi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Gaston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston 0:2
    06.02.2023 Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston 2:0
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    20.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Yoshihito Nishioka Nishioka Y. retired
    18.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Billy Harris 0:2
    14.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bye
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lalami Laaroussi Y. (WC)2 : 0
    3Coria F. (Q)Herbert P. (Q)1 : 2
    4Kotov P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    5Muller A. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Dellien H.1 : 2
    7Benchetrit E. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Majchrzak K. (Q)Munar J. (6)2 : 0
    9Carballes Baena R. (5)Baadi T. (WC)2 : 0
    10Altmaier D.Virtanen O.1 : 2
    11Fognini F.Collignon R.0 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (4)
    13Darderi L. (7)Boyer T.2 : 0
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Gaston H.1 : 2
    15Kopriva V.Gojo B. (PR)2 : 1
    16ByeSonego L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 1
    2Herbert P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    3Muller A. (3)Dellien H.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (5)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    6Collignon R.Borges N. (4)1 : 2
    7Darderi L. (7)Gaston H.2 : 1
    8Kopriva V.Sonego L. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bellucci M. (8)2 : 0
    2Muller A. (3)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    3Carballes Baena R. (5)Borges N. (4)2 : 0
    4Darderi L. (7)Kopriva V.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Majchrzak K.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (5)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2