Luciano Darderi vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/04/2025 at 11:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
60%46%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (30/43)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)46% (23/50)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)73% (11/15)
1st Return Points Won
37% (16/43)44% (19/43)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (27/50)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)100% (3/3)
Winners
2326
Unforced Errors
3631
Net Points Won
57% (13/23)100% (10/10)
Service Points Won
61% (44/72)58% (55/95)
Return Points Won
42% (40/95)39% (28/72)
Total Points Won
50% (84/167)50% (83/167)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
07
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
56% (14/25)44% (11/25)

Chances of winning


Luciano Darderi
62%
Hugo Gaston
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.73)

    2.47
    (2.1)
    5.8%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Darderi (votes: 3 - 50%). Gaston (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 Sets - Gaston (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.51%98.83%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Darderi (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gaston (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darderi is ranked ATP: 57. Gaston is ranked ATP: 84.
    • Darderi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Gaston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston 0:2
    06.02.2023 Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston 2:0
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    20.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Yoshihito Nishioka Nishioka Y. retired
    18.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Billy Harris 0:2
    14.03.2025 Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2