Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
66
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
65%62%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (38/47)74% (39/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)53% (17/32)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
26% (14/53)19% (9/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (15/32)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)100% (2/2)
Winners
3130
Unforced Errors
2826
Net Points Won
67% (6/9)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
71% (51/72)66% (56/85)
Return Points Won
34% (29/85)29% (21/72)
Total Points Won
51% (80/157)49% (77/157)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Luciano Darderi
61.4%
Jesper De Jong
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.63)

    2.46
    (2.29)
    4.9%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 75%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darderi is ranked ATP: 55. De Jong is ranked ATP: 106.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Darderi could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1