Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
0:2
16/10/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
69
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
68%52%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (24/42)83% (20/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (11/20)64% (14/22)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
21% (5/24)43% (18/42)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (8/22)45% (9/20)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)80% (4/5)
Winners
100
Unforced Errors
120
Net Points Won
47% (7/15)67% (10/15)
Service Points Won
56% (34/61)73% (33/45)
Return Points Won
27% (12/45)44% (27/61)
Total Points Won
43% (46/106)57% (60/106)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Luciano Darderi
61.7%
Shintaro Mochizuki
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.69)

    2.59
    (2.18)
    2.8%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darderi is ranked ATP: 26. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.
    • In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mochizuki is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2