Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Facundo Bagnis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Villa Maria Challenger Men Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis
Result
1:2
16/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
70%64%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (32/51)71% (35/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (11/22)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
29% (14/49)37% (19/51)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
59% (43/73)61% (47/77)
Return Points Won
39% (30/77)41% (30/73)
Total Points Won
49% (73/150)51% (77/150)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
36.1%
Facundo Bagnis
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.8)

    1.57
    (1.39)
    1.4%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 406. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 468.
    • In recent matches, Ambrogi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bagnis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bagnis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bagnis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Bagnis will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Facundo Bagnis
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    2Varillas J. P.De La Fuente S. (Q)2 : 0
    3Boscardin Dias P.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    4Jones M.Reis Da Silva J. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (3)Rodriguez L. J. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Soto M.Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Justo G. I.Torres J. B. (WC)2 : 1
    8Dellien Velasco M. A.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 1
    9Bueno G. (6)Collarini A.1 : 2
    10Ambrogi L. E.Bagnis F. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kicker N.Casanova H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cavallo F. (WC)Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Barrena A. (7)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Falabella L. A. (Q)La Serna J. M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Juarez F. (Q)Kestelboim M. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Midon L.Dellien H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Jones M.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (3)Soto M.2 : 0
    4Justo G. I.Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    5Collarini A.Bagnis F. (WO.)
    6Casanova H.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    7Barrena A. (7)La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    8Kestelboim M.Midon L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    2Maestrelli F. (3)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    3Bagnis F.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    4Barrena A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A. (4)Barrena A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Nava E. (1)Barrena A. (7)2 : 0