Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Juan Pablo Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sao Paulo 5 Challenger Men Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Pablo Paz
Result
1:2
18/11/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 5 (Brazil) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
48
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
71%68%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (50/72)77% (41/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)68% (17/25)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (12/53)31% (22/72)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (8/25)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)22% (2/9)
Service Points Won
64% (65/101)74% (58/78)
Return Points Won
26% (20/78)36% (36/101)
Total Points Won
47% (85/179)53% (94/179)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
72.9%
Juan Pablo Paz
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi's performance.
  • Juan Pablo Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Paz than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Pablo Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.55)

    3.43
    (2.28)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 410. Paz is ranked ATP: 579.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ambrogi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ambrogi will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Juan Pablo Paz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kovacevic A. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Heide G.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Prado Angelo J. C.Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    4Soto M. (Alt)Gomez F. A. (6)2 : 0
    5Comesana F. (3)Luz O. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ficovich J. P.Bertola R.2 : 0
    7Tomic B.Bueno G.2 : 1
    8Midon L. (Q)Meligeni Alves F. (8)0 : 2
    9Barrios Vera T. (7)Alves M.2 : 1
    10Sakamoto P. (Alt)Boscardin Dias P. (WC)2 : 0
    11Clarke J.Kicker N. (PR)1 : 2
    12Johns G. (Q)Ambrogi L. E. (LL)2 : 0
    13Tirante T. A. (5)Olivo R. (Q)2 : 0
    14Villanueva G. (Q)Torres J. B.0 : 2
    15Habib H.Paz J. P. (Q)2 : 1
    16Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (Q)Monteiro T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kovacevic A. (1)Heide G.0 : 2
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Soto M.0 : 2
    3Comesana F. (3)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1
    4Tomic B.Meligeni Alves F. (8)1 : 2
    5Barrios Vera T. (7)Sakamoto P.2 : 1
    6Kicker N.Johns G.0 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (5)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    8Habib H.Monteiro T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Heide G.Soto M.0 : 2
    2Comesana F. (3)Meligeni Alves F. (8)2 : 0
    3Barrios Vera T. (7)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A. (5)Habib H.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Soto M.Comesana F. (3)1 : 2
    2Barrios Vera T. (7)Tirante T. A. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Comesana F. (3)Tirante T. A. (5)2 : 1