Bergnäsets vs Lucksta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Division 2 - Norrland Bergnäsets - Lucksta
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, ,
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Bergnäsets
32.6%
Draw
27.1%
Lucksta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 25.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 24.6% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bergnäsets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergnäsets's form might have worsened.
  • Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucksta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergnäsets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucksta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bergnäsets - Lucksta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.16)
    3.64
    (3.5)
    2.45
    (2.75)
    1.4%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Lucksta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bergnäsets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bergnäsets - Lucksta were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Lucksta - Bergnäsets 2:1
    12.10.2024 Bergnäsets - Lucksta 3:2
    26.05.2024 Lucksta - Bergnäsets 2:4
    Latest results of Bergnäsets
    15.09.2025 Boden City - Bergnäsets 3:2
    03.09.2025 Boden - Bergnäsets 2:2
    30.08.2025 Bergnäsets - Täfteå 2:0
    23.08.2025 Bergnäsets - Kiruna 0:3
    Latest results of Lucksta
    13.09.2025 Lucksta - Boden 1:3
    06.09.2025 Lucksta - Täfteå 1:3
    03.09.2025 Friska Viljor - Lucksta 3:2
    30.08.2025 Lucksta - Kiruna 0:1
    24.08.2025 Boden City - Lucksta 1:4
    Swedish Division 2 - Norrland Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pitea972022:51729
    2IFK Ostersund952216:12423
    3Skelleftea943224:131119
    4IFK Lulea1051417:15218
    5Kubikenborgs1031612:19-712
    6Gottne1040611:18-712
    7Umea FC Akademi90187:27-205

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