Lucrezia Stefanini vs Diane Parry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/03/2026 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
85
1st serve percentage
72%58%
1st serve points won
56% (51/91)66% (39/59)
2nd serve points won
33% (12/36)40% (17/43)
Break Points Saved
10/1710/15
1st return points won
46% (27/59)44% (40/91)
2nd return points won
60% (26/43)67% (24/36)
Break Points Converted
5/157/17
Service Points Won
50% (63/127)55% (56/102)
Return Points Won
45% (46/102)50% (64/127)
Total Points Won
48% (109/229)52% (120/229)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
53% (8/15)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)47% (7/15)
Total games won
43% (13/30)57% (17/30)

Chances of winning


Lucrezia Stefanini
31%
Diane Parry
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.
  • Diane Parry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diane Parry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diane Parry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.3)

    1.36
    (1.52)
    6.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Parry will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parry: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Parry (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stefanini is ranked WTA: 138. Parry is ranked WTA: 111.
    • Recent form of Stefanini has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Parry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Parry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Parry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stefanini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry were as follows:
    05.10.2022 Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry 0:1
    Latest results of Lucrezia Stefanini
    Latest results of Diane Parry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Wang Xin. (29)
    3Zheng Q. (23)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Keys M. (15)
    5Svitolina E. (9)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Samsonova L. (19)
    7Ostapenko J. (25)TBD #14
    8TBD #15Paolini J. (7)
    9Rybakina E. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Kostyuk M. (27)
    11Jovic I. (18)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Osaka N. (16)
    13Alexandrova E. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Cristian J. (34)
    15Fernandez L. (26)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Pegula J. (5)
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.
    18TBD #35Bucsa C. (30)
    19Shnaider D. (20)TBD #38
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.
    22TBD #43Mertens E. (21)
    23Sakkari M. (33)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Gauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)TBD #54
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (17)
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2