Madison Keys vs Ludmilla Samsonova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Adelaide Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova
Result
Samsonova L. retired
09/01/2025 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide (Australia), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
127
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
70%58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (33/48)74% (42/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
76% (16/21)41% (17/41)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/57)31% (15/48)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (24/41)24% (5/21)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
71% (49/69)60% (59/98)
Return Points Won
40% (39/98)29% (20/69)
Total Points Won
53% (88/167)47% (79/167)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Madison Keys
69.6%
Ludmilla Samsonova
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.39)

    3.1
    (2.95)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Samsonova will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 67.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Keys is ranked WTA: 20. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 26.
    • Keys is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Samsonova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Keys is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Keys won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova were as follows:
    24.05.2024 Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0
    27.04.2024 Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0
    02.09.2023 Ludmilla Samsonova - Madison Keys 1:2
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Noskova L.Sakkari M. (LL)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M.Krueger A. (LL)1 : 2
    4Stearns P. (Q)Badosa P. (5)1 : 2
    5Collins D. (4)Jabeur O. (WC)0 : 2
    6Vekic D.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    7Pavlyuchenkova A.Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    8Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 2
    9Ostapenko J. (8)Frech M.2 : 1
    10Haddad Maia B.Keys M.0 : 2
    11Wang Xin. (Q)Jones E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Gadecki O. (WC)Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Kalinskaya A. (RET.) (7)Bencic B. (Q)0 : 1
    14Bouzkova M. (Q)Samsonova L.1 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (Q)Alexandrova E.1 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    2Krueger A.Badosa P. (5)2 : 1
    3Jabeur O.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 0
    5Ostapenko J. (8)Keys M.1 : 2
    6Jones E.Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Bencic B.Samsonova L.1 : 2
    8Alexandrova E.Navarro E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Krueger A. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Putintseva Y.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 1
    3Keys M.Kasatkina D. (3)2 : 0
    4Samsonova L.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    2Keys M.Samsonova L. (RET.)1 : 1

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Keys M.1 : 2