Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets Burgas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
129
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
129
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 3 - 1, ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 63', (Pen),
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 72', 4 - 2, ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets II
47.3%
Draw
25.5%
Chernomorets Burgas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 25.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 25.6% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets II's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Burgas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.72)
    3.57
    (3.5)
    3.33
    (4.2)
    10.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chernomorets Burgas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ludogorets II is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II 1:1
    23.11.2023 Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas 0:1
    Latest results of Ludogorets II
    Latest results of Chernomorets Burgas
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse22184044:73758
    2Fratria24146443:212248
    3Vihren24135644:281644
    4Yantra Gabrovo24128432:191344
    5CSKA Sofia II22106639:231636
    6Chernomorets 191923810528:22634
    7Pirin Blagoevgrad2378829:28129
    8Etar2378825:33-829
    9Hebar22841030:37-728
    10Ludogorets II24761128:34-627
    11Minyor Pernik2469924:29-527
    12Lok. Gorna24681025:32-726
    13Sevlievo23751121:28-726
    14Marek23571118:33-1522
    15Svoge22561120:36-1621
    16Spartak Pleven23551324:36-1220
    17Belasitsa22271313:41-2813

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