Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets Burgas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
129
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
129
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 3 - 1, ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 63', (Pen),
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 72', 4 - 2, ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets II
47.3%
Draw
25.5%
Chernomorets Burgas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 25.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 25.6% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets II's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Burgas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.72)
    3.57
    (3.5)
    3.33
    (4.2)
    10.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chernomorets Burgas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ludogorets II is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II 1:1
    23.11.2023 Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas 0:1
    Latest results of Ludogorets II
    Latest results of Chernomorets Burgas
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse19163041:63551
    2Fratria21144340:152546
    3Yantra Gabrovo21117329:171240
    4Vihren21115540:251538
    5CSKA Sofia II2096537:191833
    6Pirin Blagoevgrad2077628:25328
    7Etar2168723:28-526
    8Lok. Gorna2168723:27-426
    9Ludogorets II21741026:31-525
    10Hebar2074928:33-525
    11Chernomorets 191920510521:21025
    12Minyor Pernik2158819:26-723
    13Svoge2056920:30-1021
    14Marek21461116:32-1618
    15Sevlievo20451114:27-1317
    16Spartak Pleven20351216:34-1814
    17Belasitsa19261110:35-2512

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