Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 15
  • Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
143
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
179
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
143
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
209
Throw-ins
3010
Fouls
917

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Popov I. , Shinyashiki A. (A),
  • 22', Idowu D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Chochev I. , Son (A),
  • 27', Idowu D. , Viyachki E. ,
  • 36', Popov I. , Vutov A. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Karagaren B. , Vutov A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Erick Marcus , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 46', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
  • 63', Eboa F. 🟨,
  • 67', Bile E. , Yordanov I. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Rodriguez E. ,
  • 74', Duarte D. , Machado M. ,
  • 75', Karagaren B. , Kabov A. ,
  • 79', Nedyalkov A. , Pedro Naressi ,
  • 79', Caio Vidal , Ivanov S. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Shinyashiki A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/395bj9th

Chances of winning


Ludogorets Razgrad
69.9%
Draw
19.7%
Arda Kardzhali
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 20.9% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 17.9% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.36)
    4.7
    (4.41)
    8.91
    (8.12)
    7.7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 3.
    • Ludogorets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:11. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
    26.05.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali 2:2
    09.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad 1:1
    04.12.2024 Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad 0:4
    03.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali 5:1
    15.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali 2:0
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 26202458:184062
    2Ludogorets26158349:183153
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia26155642:261650
    4CSKA Sofia26137636:221446
    5Cherno More261110531:171443
    6Lok. Plovdiv26911626:31-538
    7Slavia Sofia2698932:29335
    8Arda2698926:24235
    9Botev Vratsa26810820:21-134
    10Lok. Sofia26810834:31334
    11Botev Plovdiv26861230:36-630
    12Dobrudzha26741521:35-1425
    13Spartak Varna264111123:40-1723
    14Septemvri Sofia26631722:53-3121
    15Beroe ✔ 263101317:39-2219
    16Montana ✔ 26371614:41-2716

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )