Result
1:0
15/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 30
- Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Velkovski D. ⚽, Kabov A. (A),
- 11', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
- 44', Duarte D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Yusein S. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
- 62', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
- 66', Stanic P. 🟨,
- 68', Duarte D. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
- 70', Andersson J. ↓, Son ↑,
- 73', Kabov A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
- 75', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
- 79', Vutov A. ↓, Velev V. ↑,
- 79', Samake W. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
- 80', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Viyachki E. ↑,
- 80', Pedro Naressi ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
- 90+3', Erick Marcus 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali 14.9% | Draw 24.9% | Ludogorets Razgrad 60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Kardzhali's form might have worsened.Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.17 ↑ (4.48) |
3.73 ↑ (3.38) |
1.55 ↓ (1.77) |
7.7% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ludogorets Razgrad will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
- Arda is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
- Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
- In recent matches, Arda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ludogorets is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Arda Kardzhali?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
09.11.2025
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Arda Kardzhali
2:3
26.05.2025
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Arda Kardzhali
2:2
09.05.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
1:1
04.12.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
0:4
03.08.2024
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Arda Kardzhali
5:1
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 67:23 | 44 | 73 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 52:32 | 20 | 62 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 18 | 56 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )