Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
311
Yellow cards
62
Red cards
10
Total shots
610
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Corner kicks
311
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1616
Throw ins
1722
Fouls
1613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
  • 35', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Erick Marcus , Stanic P. ,
  • 46', Martinho da Silva E. , Lucas Araujo ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Minkov N. ,
  • 51', Kalu S. 🟨,
  • 57', Iliev N. 🟨,
  • 61', Duarte D. , Tekpetey B. ,
  • 61', Nedyalkov A. , Vinicius Nogueira ,
  • 61', Caio Vidal , Duah K. ,
  • 62', Hein B. , Balogiannis K. ,
  • 67', Kalu S. , Conte A. ,
  • 68', Almeida D. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Nachmias I. ,
  • 82', Soldo N. 🟥,
  • 88', Pedro Igor , Tsonov S. ,
  • 88', Mascote , Maras A. ,
  • 89', Balogiannis K. 🟨,
  • 90', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rwan Cruz , Kaloc F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Algarra C. ,
  • 90+6', Tsonov S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botev Plovdiv
13.7%
Draw
21.9%
Ludogorets Razgrad
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 25.5% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 24.9% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.72
    (5.93)
    4.21
    (3.58)
    1.45
    (1.54)
    7.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Ludogorets (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Botev Plovdiv (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Ludogorets (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (68 of 72 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.15%99.73%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Ludogorets (votes: 33 - 97.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 0.
    • In recent matches, Botev Plovdiv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ludogorets is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 2:1
    27.02.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 1:0
    04.02.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 3:2
    19.12.2024 Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad 2:4
    08.12.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 3:0
    Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia31234467:234473
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia31195752:322062
    3Ludogorets31179558:223660
    4CSKA Sofia31168744:261856

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