Ludogorets Razgrad vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 10
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.193.44
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
82% (337/412)86% (464/540)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.193.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.943.68
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
82% (337/412)86% (464/540)
Long passes
51% (38/74)57% (35/61)
Passes in final third
73% (69/95)68% (95/139)
Crosses
58% (7/12)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.611.53
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1610
Tackles
69% (11/16)35% (6/17)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1811
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
3.681.94
Goals prevented
0.68-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Despodov K. , Ivanusec L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', Verdon O. 🟨,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Vogliacco A. , Despodov K. (A),
  • 53', Bile E. 🟨,
  • 61', Ivanusec L. , Konstantelias G. ,
  • 66', Bile E. , Chochev I. ,
  • 67', Taison , Zivkovic A. ,
  • 67', Ozdoev M. , Camara M. ,
  • 68', Chalov F. , Mythou A. ,
  • 69', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Verdon O. , Almeida D. (A),
  • 72', Caio Vidal , Erick Marcus ,
  • 72', Kaloc F. , Yordanov I. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Chochev I. , Stanic P. (A),
  • 81', Chochev I. 🟨,
  • 85', Meite S. , Bianco A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Mythou A. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 90+1', Tekpetey B. , Machado M. ,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets Razgrad
26.4%
Draw
28.3%
PAOK
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 26.9% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 27.1% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Ludogorets Razgrad - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (3.39)
    3.38
    (3.52)
    2.11
    (2.09)
    4.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). PAOK will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 43.9%77.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ludogorets (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PAOK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 16.7%). PAOK (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ludogorets has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • PAOK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • PAOK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ludogorets: Kurtulus E. (Injury) Terziev G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Michailidis G. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Latest results of PAOK
    07.12.2025 PAOK - Aris 3:1
    03.12.2025 Aris - PAOK 1:1
    30.11.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 2:3
    27.11.2025 PAOK - Brann 1:1
    23.11.2025 PAOK - AE Kifisia 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2