Result
6:1
22/12/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 39
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.14% (6/35) | 5.56% (1/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (17/18) | 82.86% (29/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.79 | 48.21 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 08:37, 0 - 1, Nattinen J. (G),
- 10:42, 1 - 1, Sanford Z. (G), Dahlstrom C. (A), Aebischer D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 05:56, Pedretti M. (2 min),
- 08:06, Sekac J. (2 min),
- 09:52, 2 - 1, Aebischer D. (G), Sanford Z. (A),
- 11:50, 3 - 1, Canonica L. (G), Aebischer D. (A), Sanford Z. (A2)
- 11:50, (2 min),
- 14:50, Cavalleri C. (2 min),
- 15:18, 4 - 1, Thurkauf C. (G), Alatalo S. (A),
- 18:27, 5 - 1, Sgarbossa M. (G), Sekac J. (A), Canonica L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:07, Tanner R. (2 min),
- 10:43, 6 - 1, Peltonen A. (G), Morini G. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano
69.3% | Draw
17.1% | Ajoie
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Lugano - Ajoie Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.39) |
5.52 ↑
(5.2) |
6.96 ↑
(6.28) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lugano - Ajoie?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5, OT - Lugano (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2, OT - Lugano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 5.
- Lugano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ajoie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lugano is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:43. (average 3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 3.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ajoie?
Lugano has won 15 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajoie won against Lugano?
Ajoie has won 5 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ajoie were as follows:
12.10.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
1:2
19.09.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
2:0
25.03.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
1:2
23.03.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
3:0
21.03.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
3:4
Swiss National League Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Davos ✔ | 46 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 169:108 | 102 |
| 2 | Fribourg ✔ | 47 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 155:113 | 88 |
| 3 | Lugano | 46 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 139:105 | 81 |
| 4 | Zurich | 46 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 132:105 | 80 |
| 5 | Servette | 46 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 136:133 | 77 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 46 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 138:117 | 76 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 46 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 125:139 | 67 |
| 8 | Zug | 46 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 114:130 | 67 |
| 9 | Bern | 46 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 106:110 | 64 |
| 10 | Langnau Tigers | 46 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 129:125 | 64 |
| 11 | Biel | 46 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 124:146 | 59 |
| 12 | EHC Kloten | 46 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 104:127 | 53 |
| 13 | Ambri-Piotta | 46 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 114:158 | 52 |
| 14 | Ajoie | 47 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 97:166 | 39 |
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
National League (Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Davos is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Fribourg is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
