Result
0:1
27/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 48
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/19) | 2.63% (1/38) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 97.37% (37/38) | 100% (19/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.55 | 53.45 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:17, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
- 09:59, 0 - 1, Carrick C. (G), Morini G. (A), Bertaggia A. (A2)
- 12:07, Robin L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 12:40, Christe G. (2 min),
- 15:12, Hazen J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ajoie 22.2% | Draw 20.3% | Lugano 57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ajoie - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.16 ↓ (4.28) |
4.53 ↓ (4.58) |
1.64 ↑ (1.62) |
7.2% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Ajoie is National League (Play Out )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 0.
- Recent form of Ajoie has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ajoie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugano is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 40:65. (average 2:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajoie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajoie won against Lugano?
Ajoie has won 5 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ajoie?
Lugano has won 16 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajoie - Lugano were as follows:
22.12.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
6:1
12.10.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
1:2
19.09.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
2:0
25.03.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
1:2
23.03.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
3:0
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Rapperswil-Jona (7) | Zug (8) | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | Bern (9) | Biel (10) | 3 : 4 |
Final