Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (2/40) | 0% (0/30) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (30/30) | 95% (38/40) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.89 | 51.11 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:55, Schlapfer E. (2 min),
- 02:55, Schlapfer E. (2 min),
- 02:55, Lee J. (2 min),
- 08:31, 1 - 0, Fazzini L. (G), Sanford Z. (A), Alatalo S. (A2)
- 09:56, Robin L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:20, Peltonen J. (2 min),
- 05:01, 2 - 0, Fazzini L. (G), Canonica L. (A), Sanford Z. (A2)
- 14:29, Simion D. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lugano
61.4% | Draw
19.6% | Ajoie
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Lugano - Ajoie Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.47) |
4.66 ↓
(5) |
4.79 ↓
(5.31) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4.
- Lugano is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ajoie's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lugano is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 62:43. (average 3.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 3.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Ajoie?
Lugano has won 13 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajoie won against Lugano?
Ajoie has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Ajoie were as follows:
25.03.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
1:2
23.03.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
3:0
21.03.2025
Ajoie
-
Lugano
3:4
19.03.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
2:1
15.03.2025
Lugano
-
Ajoie
3:4
Swiss National League Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Davos | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Lausanne | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36:15 | 18 |
| 3 | Rapperswil-Jona | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29:18 | 18 |
| 4 | Servette | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25:30 | 16 |
| 5 | Fribourg | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Zug | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24:22 | 15 |
| 7 | Zurich | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25:20 | 13 |
| 8 | EHC Kloten | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:22 | 11 |
| 9 | Langnau Tigers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19:28 | 9 |
| 10 | Bern | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Biel | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:24 | 6 |
| 12 | Lugano | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12:23 | 5 |
| 13 | Ambri-Piotta | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:27 | 4 |
| 14 | Ajoie | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12:28 | 4 |
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
National League (Play Out: )
