Lugano vs EV Zug – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
09/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 52
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandMySports, MySports

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2927
Shots off target
104
Shooting PCT
13.79% (4/29)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked shots
1611
Goalkeeper Saves
2625
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
2727
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:53, Riva E. (2 min),
  • 07:53, Kupari R. (2 min),
  • 16:03, 1 - 0, Emanuelsson E. (G), Kupari R. (A),
  • 18:17, 2 - 0, Alatalo S. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:22, Kubalik D. (2 min),
  • 14:34, Kunzle M. (2 min),
  • 18:44, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 06:14, 3 - 0, Carrick C. (G),
  • 10:17, 4 - 0, Sanford Z. (G), Aebischer D. (A), Fazzini L. (A2)
  • 12:24, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
  • 13:51, Alatalo S. (2 min),
  • 14:59, Kunzle M. (2 min),
  • 18:56, 4 - 1, Lindemann C. S. (G), Truog L. C. (A), Riva E. (A2)

Chances of winning


Lugano
53.7%
Draw
21%
EV Zug
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 23.2% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 26.3% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
  • EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EV Zug might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Lugano - EV Zug Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.16)
    4.45
    (4.02)
    3.71
    (2.78)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    What is the prediction for Lugano - EV Zug?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lugano is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • EV Zug is Qualified for National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
    • Recent form of Lugano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • EV Zug's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lugano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:63. (average 2.9:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - EV Zug were as follows:
    14.01.2026 EV Zug - Lugano 2:3
    21.11.2025 EV Zug - Lugano 2:3
    12.09.2025 Lugano - EV Zug 1:2
    31.01.2025 EV Zug - Lugano 7:4
    20.12.2024 Lugano - EV Zug 5:2
    Latest results of Lugano
    07.03.2026 EHC Kloten - Lugano 2:1
    05.03.2026 Lugano - ZSC Lions 1:4
    28.02.2026 Lugano - Lausanne HC 1:4
    27.02.2026 Ajoie - Lugano 0:1
    24.02.2026 Lugano - Biel 3:4
    Latest results of EV Zug
    05.03.2026 Bern - EV Zug 2:1
    28.02.2026 EV Zug - Ambrì-Piotta 4:1
    27.02.2026 Biel - EV Zug 2:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Rapperswil-Jona (7)Zug (8)2 : 5
    4Bern (9)Biel (10)3 : 4

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    2ByeTBD #4