Lugano vs EV Zug – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Swiss National League Hockey Lugano - EV Zug
Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2418
Shots off target
514
Shooting PCT
4.17% (1/24)11.11% (2/18)
Blocked Shots
910
Goalkeeper Saves
1623
Saves PCT
88.89% (16/18)95.83% (23/24)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
2133
Faceoffs %
38.8961.11
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 14:45, Herzog F. (2 min),
  • 19:55, (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:12, Sgarbossa M. (2 min),
  • 05:31, 0 - 1, Tatar T. (G),
  • 11:35, 1 - 1, Alatalo S. (G), Simion D. (A),
  • 19:33, 1 - 2, Hofmann G. (G), Kovar J. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:26, Wey L. (2 min),
  • 18:02, Balestra N. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Lugano
37%
Draw
23%
EV Zug
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 22.8% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 23% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Lugano - EV Zug Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.38)
    4.06
    (4.13)
    2.36
    (2.49)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - EV Zug?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
    • Lugano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • EV Zug is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lugano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 55:73. (average 2.8:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 2.8:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - EV Zug were as follows:
    31.01.2025 EV Zug - Lugano 7:4
    20.12.2024 Lugano - EV Zug 5:2
    22.10.2024 Lugano - EV Zug 1:5
    17.09.2024 EV Zug - Lugano 3:2
    17.02.2024 EV Zug - Lugano 1:5
    Latest results of Lugano
    Latest results of EV Zug
    09.09.2025 EV Zug - Bern 3:0
    07.09.2025 EV Zug - Belfast Giants 6:3
    05.09.2025 EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt 3:7
    28.08.2025 Luleå - EV Zug 2:3
    Swiss National League Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Davos7610028:1020
    2Servette7501122:2616
    3Lausanne7500231:1115
    4Rapperswil-Jona7500225:1515
    5Zurich7401223:1513
    6Fribourg7230223:1812
    7Zug7303120:2212
    8Bern621039:118
    9EHC Kloten7210419:228
    10Langnau Tigers7210416:248
    11Lugano710248:185
    12Biel6020412:214
    13Ambri-Piotta7101513:234
    14Ajoie7101510:234

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