Result
4:1
09/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 52
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 3.7% (1/27) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.3% (26/27) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 07:53, Riva E. (2 min),
- 07:53, Kupari R. (2 min),
- 16:03, 1 - 0, Emanuelsson E. (G), Kupari R. (A),
- 18:17, 2 - 0, Alatalo S. (G),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:22, Kubalik D. (2 min),
- 14:34, Kunzle M. (2 min),
- 18:44, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:14, 3 - 0, Carrick C. (G),
- 10:17, 4 - 0, Sanford Z. (G), Aebischer D. (A), Fazzini L. (A2)
- 12:24, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
- 13:51, Alatalo S. (2 min),
- 14:59, Kunzle M. (2 min),
- 18:56, 4 - 1, Lindemann C. S. (G), Truog L. C. (A), Riva E. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lugano 53.7% | Draw 21% | EV Zug 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EV Zug might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Lugano - EV Zug Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (2.16) |
4.45 ↑ (4.02) |
3.71 ↑ (2.78) |
7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Lugano - EV Zug?
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Lugano is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- EV Zug is Qualified for National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
- Recent form of Lugano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- EV Zug's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lugano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:63. (average 2.9:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.6:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against EV Zug?
Lugano has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EV Zug won against Lugano?
EV Zug has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - EV Zug were as follows:
14.01.2026
EV Zug
-
Lugano
2:3
21.11.2025
EV Zug
-
Lugano
2:3
12.09.2025
Lugano
-
EV Zug
1:2
31.01.2025
EV Zug
-
Lugano
7:4
20.12.2024
Lugano
-
EV Zug
5:2
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Rapperswil-Jona (7) | Zug (8) | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | Bern (9) | Biel (10) | 3 : 4 |
Final