Result
2:1
30/07/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Switzerland | RSI La 2, SRF Info, SRF Info |
 Turkey | D Smart GO, Exxen, Spor Smart 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 96 | 97 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 72 | 49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
- 31', Fred ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Krunic R. ↓, Yandas M. H. ↑,
- 55', Doumbia O. 🟨,
- 57', Aliseda I. 🟨,
- 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Yandas M. H. (A),
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 66', Hajdari A. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 67', Belhadj M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
- 70', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
- 73', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 73', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 79', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 83', Kadioglu F. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
- 86', Dzeko E. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
73.7% | Draw
16% | Lugano
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Fenerbahçe - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.31) |
5.96 ↑
(5.01) |
9.3 ↑
(8.03) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 35 - 92.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 83.5% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-3.
- Fenerbahçe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lugano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lugano have a series of home games.
- In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Lugano?
Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Fenerbahçe?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Lugano were as follows:
23.07.2024
Lugano
-
Fenerbahçe
3:4
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 19 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 25 | Brann | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
| 29 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 31 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Servette | |
| 33 | Nice | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 1 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 7 : 1 |
| 4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 4 |
| 14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
| 15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Plzen | Servette | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Nice | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals
