Fenerbahçe vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/07/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul).

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Switzerland	RSI La 2, SRF Info, SRF Info
Turkey	D Smart GO, Exxen, Spor Smart 1

Match Stats


Ball Possession
57%	43%
Goal Attempts
8	7
Shots on Goal
4	4
Shots off Goal
4	1
Blocked Shots
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Offsides
3	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Fouls
11	23
Yellow Cards
1	4
Attacks
96	97
Dangerous Attacks
72	49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
31', Fred ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Krunic R. ↓, Yandas M. H. ↑,
55', Doumbia O. 🟨,
57', Aliseda I. 🟨,
58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Yandas M. H. (A),
60', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
66', Hajdari A. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
67', Belhadj M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
70', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
73', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
73', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
79', Zanotti M. 🟨,
83', Kadioglu F. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
86', Dzeko E. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),

Chances of winning

Fenerbahçe
73.7%

Draw
16%

Lugano
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.6%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Fenerbahçe - Lugano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	5.96 ↑ (5.01)	9.3 ↑ (8.03)	5.9% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Lugano?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 35 - 92.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 83.5% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-3.
Fenerbahçe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lugano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lugano have a series of home games.
In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Lugano?

Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Fenerbahçe?

Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Lugano were as follows:

23.07.2024 Lugano - Fenerbahçe 3:4

Latest results of Fenerbahçe

23.07.2024 Lugano - Fenerbahçe 3:4 ✺

18.07.2024 Fenerbahçe - Hull City 5:1 ✺

13.07.2024 Strasbourg - Fenerbahçe 0:4 ✺

10.07.2024 Fenerbahçe - Hajduk Split 0:1 ✺

06.07.2024 Admira - Fenerbahçe 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Lugano

27.07.2024 Basel - Lugano 1:2 ✺

23.07.2024 Lugano - Fenerbahçe 3:4 ✺

20.07.2024 Lugano - Grasshoppers 2:1 ✺

13.07.2024 Lugano - Parma 3:1 ✺

06.07.2024 Lugano - Aarau 0:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag	1 : 3
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos	1 : 2
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz	5 : 0
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty	0 : 0
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen	1 : 1
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica	0 : 0
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV	1 : 3