Result
2:1
30/07/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Switzerland | RSI La 2, SRF Info, SRF Info |
 Turkey | D Smart GO, Exxen, Spor Smart 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 96 | 97 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 72 | 49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
- 31', Fred ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Krunic R. ↓, Yandas M. H. ↑,
- 55', Doumbia O. 🟨,
- 57', Aliseda I. 🟨,
- 58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Yandas M. H. (A),
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 66', Hajdari A. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 67', Belhadj M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
- 70', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
- 73', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 73', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 79', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 83', Kadioglu F. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
- 86', Dzeko E. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
73.7% | Draw
16% | Lugano
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Fenerbahçe - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.31) |
5.96 ↑
(5.01) |
9.3 ↑
(8.03) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 35 - 92.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 83.5% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-3.
- Fenerbahçe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lugano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lugano have a series of home games.
- In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Lugano?
Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Fenerbahçe?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Lugano were as follows:
23.07.2024
Lugano
-
Fenerbahçe
3:4
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Qarabag | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Tottenham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Ath Bilbao | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Royale Union SG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 25 | Juventus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 2 |
| 26 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 | Monaco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 29 | Pafos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 30 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 31 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Benfica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
