Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (170/250) | 88% (556/635) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (170/250) | 88% (556/635) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 65% (31/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (58/101) | 82% (181/221) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 16% (7/44) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Plange L. ⚽, Frey M. (A),
- 19', Diaby A. 🟥,
- 30', Asp J. ↓, Imourane H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kelvin D. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 46', Joao Carbone ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 46', Cimignani Y. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
- 46', Plange L. ↓, Abrashi A. ↑,
- 67', Mai L. 🟨,
- 70', Frey M. ↓, Lee Young-Jun ↑,
- 70', Grgic A. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 80', Zanotti M. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 89', Abels D. ↓, Diarrassouba S. ↑,
- 89', Stroscio S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grasshoppers 29.3% | Draw 27.7% | Lugano 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Grasshoppers - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 ↑ (3.08) |
3.38 ↓ (3.82) |
2.17 ↑ (2.12) |
7.1% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grasshoppers - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grasshoppers will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Lugano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lugano (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Lugano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lugano could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grasshoppers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grasshoppers won against Lugano?
Grasshoppers has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Grasshoppers?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grasshoppers - Lugano were as follows:
31.01.2026
Grasshoppers
-
Lugano
1:1
27.09.2025
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
2:1
08.02.2025
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
1:1
31.10.2024
Grasshoppers
-
Lugano
1:1
20.07.2024
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
2:1
Latest results of Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )