Grasshoppers vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.210.78
Ball possession
28%72%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
49
Passes
68% (170/250)88% (556/635)
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.210.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.64
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
710
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
813
Passes
68% (170/250)88% (556/635)
Long passes
47% (28/60)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
57% (58/101)82% (181/221)
Crosses
23% (3/13)16% (7/44)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.86
Throw ins
1922
Fouls
138
Tackles
64% (9/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
4010
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
0.641.57
Goals prevented
0.640.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Plange L. , Frey M. (A),
  • 19', Diaby A. 🟥,
  • 30', Asp J. , Imourane H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kelvin D. , Koutsias G. ,
  • 46', Joao Carbone , Alioski E. ,
  • 46', Cimignani Y. , Mai L. ,
  • 46', Plange L. , Abrashi A. ,
  • 67', Mai L. 🟨,
  • 70', Frey M. , Lee Young-Jun ,
  • 70', Grgic A. , Bottani M. ,
  • 80', Zanotti M. , Pihlstrom E. ,
  • 89', Abels D. , Diarrassouba S. ,
  • 89', Stroscio S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grasshoppers
29.3%
Draw
27.7%
Lugano
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 24.7% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 25.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Grasshoppers - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (3.08)
    3.38
    (3.82)
    2.17
    (2.12)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grasshoppers - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grasshoppers will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Lugano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lugano (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Lugano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lugano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grasshoppers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grasshoppers - Lugano were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1
    27.09.2025 Lugano - Grasshoppers 2:1
    08.02.2025 Lugano - Grasshoppers 1:1
    31.10.2024 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1
    20.07.2024 Lugano - Grasshoppers 2:1
    Latest results of Grasshoppers
    21.02.2026 Grasshoppers - Zürich 1:2
    14.02.2026 St. Gallen - Grasshoppers 0:0
    10.02.2026 Luzern - Grasshoppers 4:3
    07.02.2026 Grasshoppers - Young Boys 1:1
    03.02.2026 Grasshoppers - Sion 4:3
    Latest results of Lugano
    22.02.2026 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    15.02.2026 Basel - Lugano 1:1
    11.02.2026 Lugano - Servette 1:1
    07.02.2026 Winterthur - Lugano 1:1
    31.01.2026 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 30232571:333871
    2St. Gallen ✔ 30167759:362355
    3Lugano ✔ 30148847:371050
    4Basel ✔ 30147945:39649
    5Sion301112743:34945
    6Young Boys301361160:55545
    7Luzern30991258:56236
    8Lausanne30991245:49-436
    9Servette ✔ 307121148:56-833
    10Zurich ✔ 30941742:59-1731
    11Grasshoppers ✔ 30591638:56-1824
    12Winterthur ✔ 30471934:80-4619

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )