Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/517) | 74% (250/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/517) | 74% (250/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/113) | 66% (78/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Zvonarek L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Paloschi D. 🟨,
- 53', Lee Young-Jun ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
- 54', Paloschi D. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Grgic A. (Pen),
- 64', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Asp J. ⚽, Plange L. (A),
- 74', 2 - 1, Behrens K. ⚽, Alioski E. (A),
- 77', Dos Santos D. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 77', Marques M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 77', Plange L. ↓, Muci N. ↑,
- 77', Marques S. ↓, Arigoni A. ↑,
- 82', Imourane H. ↓, Meyer T. ↑,
- 82', Stroscio S. ↓, Giandomenico L. ↑,
- 89', Behrens K. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
- 89', Bislimi U. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 90+2', Mai L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Abels D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
69.8% | Draw
21.2% | Grasshoppers
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grasshoppers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grasshoppers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Grasshoppers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.65) |
5.33 ↑
(4.21) |
13.52 ↑
(4.81) |
-8.4%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Grasshoppers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Grasshoppers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Lugano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Grasshoppers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grasshoppers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lugano is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Koutsias G.
(Inactive)
Steffen R.
(Red Card)
Zanotti M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Grasshoppers: Abrashi A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kabashi L.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Pihlstrom E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Grasshoppers?
Lugano has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grasshoppers won against Lugano?
Grasshoppers has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Grasshoppers were as follows:
08.02.2025
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
1:1
31.10.2024
Grasshoppers
-
Lugano
1:1
20.07.2024
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
2:1
13.04.2024
Grasshoppers
-
Lugano
0:1
31.01.2024
Lugano
-
Grasshoppers
0:0
Latest results of Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Thun | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Zurich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Basel | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sion | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Servette | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Luzern | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Lausanne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
