Lugano vs HJK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lugano - HJK
Result
3:0
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.670.42
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1215
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
1412
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
680418
Completed Passes
590336
Crosses Completed
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Marques M. ,
  • 60', Halme A. , Palumets K. ,
  • 60', Hostikka S. , Moller L. ,
  • 65', Bottani M. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 65', Bislimi U. , Dos Santos D. ,
  • 65', Aliseda I. , Mahou H. ,
  • 75', Kanellopoulos G. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 75', Erwin L. , Plange L. ,
  • 77', Belhadj M. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 88', Marques M. , El Wafi A. ,
  • 88', Kokcu O. , Meriluoto K. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Dos Santos D. , Przybylko K. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
74.1%
Draw
16.5%
HJK
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 21.8% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.1% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugano - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.53)
    5.68
    (4.28)
    9.94
    (5.43)
    5.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - HJK?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 78.1%99.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches HJK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lugano is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Lugano to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lugano
    29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    22.09.2024 Sion - Lugano 0:0
    18.09.2024 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:2
    14.09.2024 Rapperswil-Jona - Lugano 1:3
    01.09.2024 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:1
    Latest results of HJK
    28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1
    20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1
    14.09.2024 HJK - SJK 2:2
    01.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:3
    29.08.2024 HJK - KÍ Klaksvík 2:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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