Result
3:0
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | Canal+ Live 14 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 17 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 680 | 418 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 590 | 336 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Marques M. ⚽,
- 60', Halme A. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
- 60', Hostikka S. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 65', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 65', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 65', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 75', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
- 75', Erwin L. ↓, Plange L. ↑,
- 77', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 88', Marques M. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 88', Kokcu O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano
74.1% | Draw
16.5% | HJK
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.53) |
5.68 ↑
(4.28) |
9.94 ↑
(5.43) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lugano - HJK?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 78.1% – 99.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches HJK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Lugano is indisputable favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Lugano to win the game is with odds 1.44.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against HJK?
Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Lugano?
HJK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - HJK were as follows:
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
