Result
1:4
28/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 49
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.85% (1/26) | 13.79% (4/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.29% (25/28) | 96.15% (25/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.45 | 54.55 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 14:15, 0 - 1, Bougro B. (G), Douay F. (A),
- 15:36, Morini G. (2 min),
- 16:15, Niku S. (2 min),
- 17:26, 0 - 2, Kahun D. (G),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:34, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
- 11:06, 0 - 3, Heldner F. (G), Zehnder Y. (A), Fuchs J. (A2)
- 17:11, Jager K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:45, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
- 13:35, 1 - 3, Henry C. (G), Carrick C. (A), Alatalo S. (A2)
- 13:35, (2 min),
- 17:21, (2 min),
- 18:10, 1 - 4, Rochette T. (G),
Chances of winning
Lugano
51.1% | Draw
20.9% | Lausanne HC
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.Lausanne HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne HC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne HC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Lausanne HC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.14) |
4.46 ↑
(4.18) |
3.31 ↑
(2.74) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lausanne HC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:65. (average 3.1:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.8:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Lausanne HC?
Lugano has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne HC won against Lugano?
Lausanne HC has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Lausanne HC were as follows:
07.01.2026
Lausanne HC
-
Lugano
2:5
18.10.2025
Lausanne HC
-
Lugano
1:5
26.09.2025
Lugano
-
Lausanne HC
4:5
21.02.2025
Lausanne HC
-
Lugano
4:3
10.01.2025
Lugano
-
Lausanne HC
1:3
Latest results of Lausanne HC
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Rapperswil-Jona (7) | Zug (8) | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | Bern (9) | Biel (10) | 3 : 4 |
Final
