Lugano vs Lausanne-Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Lugano - Lausanne-Sport
Result
1:1
17/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.73
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (286/344)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.51
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2432
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
86% (389/454)83% (286/344)
Long passes
53% (30/57)67% (28/42)
Passes in final third
78% (62/80)74% (110/148)
Crosses
21% (4/19)18% (6/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.94
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (10/15)27% (3/11)
Duels won
4048
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.512.04
Goals prevented
-0.491.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Behrens K. , Dos Santos D. (A),
  • 14', Roche J. , Mouanga K. ,
  • 22', Sow K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Lekoueiry B. , Soppy B. (A),
  • 55', Soppy B. 🟨,
  • 57', El Wafi A. , Brault-Guillard Z. ,
  • 57', Cimignani Y. , Bottani M. ,
  • 57', Dos Santos D. , Belhadj M. ,
  • 60', Kana-Biyik E. , Butler-Oyedeji N. ,
  • 78', Okoh B. 🟨,
  • 81', Lekoueiry B. , Ajdini A. ,
  • 81', Poaty M. , Fofana S. ,
  • 81', Bislimi U. , Cassano C. ,
  • 86', Marques M. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Steffen R. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Cassano C. , Doumbia O. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano
48%
Draw
26.1%
Lausanne-Sport
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 25.9% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 26.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lugano - Lausanne-Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.09)
    3.6
    (3.7)
    3.58
    (3.38)
    6.3%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lugano - Lausanne-Sport?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
    • Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D. (Muscle Injury) Kendouci A. (Broken Leg) Koutsias G. (Inactive) Mahou H. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Beloko N. (Inactive) N'Diaye S. (Red Card) Sanches A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Roche J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:1
    21.04.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 2:0
    15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4
    18.09.2024 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:2
    20.04.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 2:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    13.09.2025 St. Gallen - Lugano 1:0
    31.08.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 3:1
    17.08.2025 Cham - Lugano 3:2
    14.08.2025 Celje - Lugano 2:4
    10.08.2025 Lugano - Basel 3:1
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun961219:13619
    2Basel960319:10918
    3St. Gallen960318:10818
    4Sion943214:10415
    5Young Boys942315:17-214
    6Luzern934216:15113
    7Lugano941413:15-213
    8Zurich941413:16-313
    9Lausanne923415:1419
    10Grasshoppers923414:1319
    11Servette922513:18-58
    12Winterthur902710:28-182

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