Result
1:1
17/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 83% (286/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 83% (286/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 67% (28/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (62/80) | 74% (110/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽, Dos Santos D. (A),
- 14', Roche J. ↓, Mouanga K. ↑,
- 22', Sow K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Lekoueiry B. ⚽, Soppy B. (A),
- 55', Soppy B. 🟨,
- 57', El Wafi A. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 57', Cimignani Y. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 57', Dos Santos D. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 60', Kana-Biyik E. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
- 78', Okoh B. 🟨,
- 81', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
- 81', Poaty M. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 81', Bislimi U. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
- 86', Marques M. 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90+1', Steffen R. 🟥,
- 90+7', Cassano C. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugano
48% | Draw
26.1% | Lausanne-Sport
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Lugano - Lausanne-Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
3.6 ↓
(3.7) |
3.58 ↑
(3.38) |
6.3%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Lausanne-Sport?
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
- Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Koutsias G.
(Inactive)
Mahou H.
(Injury)
Zanotti M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Beloko N.
(Inactive)
N'Diaye S.
(Red Card)
Sanches A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Roche J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Lausanne-Sport?
Lugano has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne-Sport won against Lugano?
Lausanne-Sport has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
18.05.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
1:1
21.04.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
2:0
15.12.2024
Lugano
-
Lausanne-Sport
1:4
18.09.2024
Lausanne-Sport
-
Lugano
1:2
20.04.2024
Lugano
-
Lausanne-Sport
2:0
Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Thun | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Zurich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Basel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Sion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Luzern | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Servette | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Lausanne | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
