Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
14
Red cards
10
Total shots
69
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
22
Corner kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Soria R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Urruchua G. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Abal E. ,
  • 68', Quiroga P. 🟥,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Cristeff M. A. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano
38.9%
Draw
32.6%
Leandro N. Alem
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 24.1% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Lugano - Leandro N. Alem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.92)
    2.79
    (3.15)
    3.18
    (3.7)
    10.1%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Lugano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leandro N. Alem has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Leandro N. Alem has had a series of home games.
    • Lugano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Leandro N. Alem were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Leandro N. Alem - Lugano 0:0
    11.05.2025 Lugano - Leandro N. Alem 0:2
    06.07.2024 Leandro N. Alem - Lugano 2:0
    05.02.2024 Lugano - Leandro N. Alem 0:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui944114:7716
    2Sacachispas951315:11416
    3Estrella Del Sur943211:8315
    4Lugano934211:8313
    5Def. de Cambaceres1034310:9113
    6Mercedes93425:4113
    7CSR Espanol933311:7412
    8Puerto Nuevo92619:7212
    9Victoriano A93336:5112
    10Deportivo Paraguayo103348:15-712
    11Justo Jose de Urquiza91625:8-39
    12Leandro N. Alem923410:20-109
    13Argentino de Rosario91539:10-18
    14Juventud Unida S. M91446:11-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid104519:6317
    2Leones de Rosario94419:7216
    3Canuelas1036110:7315
    4Claypole94328:5315
    5Central Ballester941412:9313
    6Yupanqui93429:8113
    7Central Cordoba103436:6013
    8El Porvenir91809:8111
    9Sportivo Barracas93249:8111
    10Deportivo Espanol916210:1009
    11Club Lujan91536:8-28
    12Atlas91534:8-48
    13Fenix101454:11-77
    14Deportivo Muniz90635:9-46

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )