Result
17/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Luzern
34.2% | Draw
28% | Lugano
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Luzern - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.69) |
3.26 ↓
(3.42) |
2.48 ↑
(2.41) |
7.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.
- Luzern is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lugano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Luzern has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lugano has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Lugano?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Luzern?
Lugano has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Lugano were as follows:
30.10.2025
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:0
04.05.2025
Luzern
-
Lugano
0:2
15.02.2025
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:0
07.12.2024
Luzern
-
Lugano
1:4
11.08.2024
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:3
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Lugano | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | Basel | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 38:38 | 0 | 29 |
| 6 | Sion | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Zurich | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Luzern | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Servette | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23:50 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
