Result
2:0
30/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: von Mandach J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/406) | 86% (388/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/406) | 86% (388/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 63% (32/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (52/69) | 80% (152/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 28', Koutsias G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 46', Koutsias G. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 46', El Wafi A. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 46', Bajrami A. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Mahou H. ⚽, Bislimi U. (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Cimignani Y. ⚽,
- 65', Von Moos J. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 69', Dorn P. 🟨,
- 71', Freimann B. 🟨,
- 74', Di Giusto M. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 74', Knezevic S. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
- 74', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Kabwit O. ↑,
- 82', Behrens K. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
- 87', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
52% | Draw
24.7% | Luzern
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugano - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.86) |
3.76 ↓
(3.77) |
3.96 ↑
(3.66) |
6.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Luzern will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Luzern?
Lugano has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Lugano?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Luzern were as follows:
04.05.2025
Luzern
-
Lugano
0:2
15.02.2025
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:0
07.12.2024
Luzern
-
Lugano
1:4
11.08.2024
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:3
03.03.2024
Luzern
-
Lugano
0:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 26:14 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Basel | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Sion | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Luzern | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Lugano | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Zurich | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Servette | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
