Result
0:2
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 34
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/421) | 78% (268/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 3.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/421) | 78% (268/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 47% (31/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (127/165) | 74% (66/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.48 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 16', Beloko N. 🟨,
- 21', Cimignani Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Beloko N. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 55', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 55', Villiger L. 🟨,
- 55', Freimann B. M. 🟨,
- 56', Steffen R. 🟨,
- 59', Saipi A. ↓, Osigwe S. ↑,
- 60', Dos Santos D. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 61', Doumbia O. 🟨,
- 68', Cimignani Y. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 68', Bottani M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 69', El Wafi A. 🟨,
- 71', Villiger L. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
- 81', El Wafi A. ↓, Hajdari A. ↑,
- 82', Osigwe S. 🟨,
- 84', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
- 86', Freimann B. M. 🟨,
- 87', Owusu T. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 87', Stankovic A. ↓, Kadak J. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Koutsias G. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
Chances of winning
Luzern
34.6% | Draw
26.3% | Lugano
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Luzern - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.57) |
3.58 ↑
(3.47) |
2.4 ↓
(2.61) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luzern - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.
- In recent matches, Luzern has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lugano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Luzern: Chader S.
(Muscle Injury)
Klidje T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Hajdari A.
(Inactive)
Osigwe S.
(Inactive)
Valenzuela M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:38. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Lugano?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Luzern?
Lugano has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Lugano were as follows:
15.02.2025
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:0
07.12.2024
Luzern
-
Lugano
1:4
11.08.2024
Lugano
-
Luzern
2:3
03.03.2024
Luzern
-
Lugano
0:1
03.12.2023
Lugano
-
Luzern
1:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lausanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Grasshoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Luzern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | St. Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
