Result
2:2
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 10 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | FOX Sports 3 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 11 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 10 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 15 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Fouls |
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15 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 25 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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18 | 28 |
Passes |
---|
81% (323/399) | 87% (368/425) |
Passes in the final third |
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70% (64/91) | 74% (87/117) |
Crosses |
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83% (5/6) | 23% (6/26) |
Tackles |
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67% (10/15) | 67% (6/9) |
Clearances Total |
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20 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
- 29', Correia J. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Mahou H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 67', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
- 67', Anderson Silva ↓, Jairo ↑,
- 67', Sunjic I. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
- 70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
- 73', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
- 79', Bruno ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 79', Pepe ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 90+1', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
- 90+1', Steffen R. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 90+1', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano 42% | Draw 27.4% | Paphos 30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Lugano - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.16) |
3.44 ↓ (3.49) |
3.06 ↓ (3.21) |
6.4% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 83.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
- Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B.
(Injury)
Ryter Y.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Paphos?
Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Lugano?
Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Paphos were as follows:
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)