Result
2:2
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 10 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | FOX Sports 3 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 11 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 10 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/399) | 87% (368/425) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 74% (87/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 23% (6/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (6/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
- 29', Correia J. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Mahou H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 67', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
- 67', Anderson Silva ↓, Jairo ↑,
- 67', Sunjic I. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
- 70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
- 73', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
- 79', Bruno ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 79', Pepe ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 90+1', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
- 90+1', Steffen R. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 90+1', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano
42% | Draw
27.4% | Paphos
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Lugano - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.16) |
3.44 ↓
(3.49) |
3.06 ↓
(3.21) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 83.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
- Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B.
(Injury)
Ryter Y.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Paphos?
Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Lugano?
Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Paphos were as follows:
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
