Lugano vs Paphos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stockhorn Arena (Thun).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.74
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
12	15
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
4	11
Blocked Shots
3	1
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
7	15
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
15	7
Yellow Cards
3	3
Throw-ins
21	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	28
Passes
81% (323/399)	87% (368/425)
Passes in the final third
70% (64/91)	74% (87/117)
Crosses
83% (5/6)	23% (6/26)
Tackles
67% (10/15)	67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
20	12
Interceptions
4	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
29', Correia J. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽,
45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Mahou H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
67', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
67', Anderson Silva ↓, Jairo ↑,
67', Sunjic I. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
73', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
79', Bruno ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
79', Pepe ↓, Jaja ↑,
90+1', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
90+1', Steffen R. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
90+1', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),

Chances of winning

Lugano
42%

Draw
27.4%

Paphos
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lugano - Paphos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	6.4% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 83.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Paphos?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Lugano?

Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Paphos were as follows:

Latest results of Lugano

15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4 ✺

12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2 ✺

07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4 ✺

04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2 ✺

01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Paphos

16.12.2024 Nea Salamis - Paphos 0:2 ✺

12.12.2024 Paphos - Celje 2:0 ✺

08.12.2024 Ethnikos Achna - Paphos 0:2 ✺

02.12.2024 Paphos - Omonia 0:1 ✺

28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda
6	Urartu	Neman
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont
36	Valur	Flora
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma
49	La Fiorita	Vardar
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
55	Hibernians	Bye
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann
58	Kalju	Partizani
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	TBD #3	Bye
3	Bye	TBD #6
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	TBD #13	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	TBD #18
10	Viking	TBD #20
11	AEK Athens FC	Bye
12	TBD #23	Gyor
13	Riga FC	TBD #26
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	TBD #29	Bye
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	Bye	Maribor
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	TBD #44
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Bye
28	Hibernians	Bye
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	AIK	TBD #60
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	TBD #65	Shamrock Rovers
34	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	TBD #72
37	Bye	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	TBD #84
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	TBD #87	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Paphos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 11
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+