Lugano vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 11
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.360.74
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
411
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
715
Offsides
02
Fouls
157
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2125
Touches in the Opposition Box
1828
Passes
81% (323/399)87% (368/425)
Passes in the final third
70% (64/91)74% (87/117)
Crosses
83% (5/6)23% (6/26)
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
2012
Interceptions
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. , Zanotti M. (A),
  • 26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
  • 29', Correia J. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ,
  • 45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Mahou H. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 67', Rafael Pontelo , Pileas K. ,
  • 67', Anderson Silva , Jairo ,
  • 67', Sunjic I. , Quina D. ,
  • 70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 73', Bottani M. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 79', Bruno , Leo Natel ,
  • 79', Pepe , Jaja ,
  • 90+1', Valenzuela M. , Marques M. ,
  • 90+1', Steffen R. , El Wafi A. ,
  • 90+1', Belhadj M. , Dos Santos D. ,
  • 90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. , Tankovic M. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
42%
Draw
27.4%
Paphos
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 27% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.8% 29.2%

Lugano - Paphos Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.24
(2.16)
3.44
(3.49)
3.06
(3.21)
6.4%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6%83.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
    • Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lugano
    15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4
    12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0
    Latest results of Paphos
    16.12.2024 Nea Salamis - Paphos 0:2
    12.12.2024 Paphos - Celje 2:0
    08.12.2024 Ethnikos Achna - Paphos 0:2
    02.12.2024 Paphos - Omonia 0:1
    28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)