Lugano vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lugano - Paphos
Result
2:2
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.360.74
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
411
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
715
Offsides
02
Fouls
157
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2125
Touches in the Opposition Box
1828
Passes
81% (323/399)87% (368/425)
Passes in the final third
70% (64/91)74% (87/117)
Crosses
83% (5/6)23% (6/26)
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
2012
Interceptions
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Saipi A. (Own goal), Pepe (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
  • 26', Tankovic M. 🟨,
  • 29', Correia J. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽,
  • 45+1', Bottani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Mahou H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
  • 67', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
  • 67', Anderson Silva ↓, Jairo ↑,
  • 67', Sunjic I. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
  • 70', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 73', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
  • 74', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 79', Bruno ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
  • 79', Pepe ↓, Jaja ↑,
  • 90+1', Valenzuela M. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Steffen R. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Grgic A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Goldar D. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
42%		Draw
27.4%		Paphos
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 27% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Lugano - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.16)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.49)    		 3.06 ↓
    (3.21)    		 6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Lugano - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 83.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Paphos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.
    • Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lugano
    15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4 ✺
    12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4 ✺
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2 ✺
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paphos
    16.12.2024 Nea Salamis - Paphos 0:2 ✺
    12.12.2024 Paphos - Celje 2:0 ✺
    08.12.2024 Ethnikos Achna - Paphos 0:2 ✺
    02.12.2024 Paphos - Omonia 0:1 ✺
    28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
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