Result
4:2
14/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/434) | 84% (365/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/434) | 84% (365/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 66% (21/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (41/59) | 76% (110/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. ⚽, Mai L. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Grgic A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', 3 - 0, Bislimi U. ⚽, Cimignani Y. (A),
- 30', Aye F. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
- 39', 3 - 1, Douline D. ⚽, Cognat T. (A),
- 45+1', Bronn D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bronn D. ↓, Baron A. ↑,
- 52', 4 - 1, Papadopoulos A. ⚽, Mai L. (A),
- 60', Fomba L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 60', Morandi G. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
- 63', Behrens K. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 2, Mraz S. ⚽, Stevanovic M. (A),
- 75', Marques M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 76', Koutsias G. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
- 79', Belhadj M. 🟨,
- 80', Stevanovic M. ↓, Miguel M. ↑,
- 88', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 88', Cimignani Y. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
- 90+2', Bislimi U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
48.7% | Draw
26.4% | Servette
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugano - Servette Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.11) |
3.7 ↑
(3.51) |
3.98 ↑
(3.19) |
2.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Servette?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Servette will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Servette may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Foot Injury)
Bottani M.
(Health problems)
von Ballmoos D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Servette: Antunes A.
(Injury)
Severin Y.
(Inactive)
Srdanovic L.
(Injury)
Varela K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Servette: Frick J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Servette?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Lugano?
Servette has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Servette were as follows:
26.10.2025
Servette
-
Lugano
2:1
15.05.2025
Servette
-
Lugano
4:1
29.03.2025
Lugano
-
Servette
0:2
01.12.2024
Servette
-
Lugano
3:0
03.08.2024
Lugano
-
Servette
3:1
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48:26 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Lugano | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Basel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:26 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | Sion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 43:45 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Lausanne | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Servette | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 38:43 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Zurich | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 32:43 | -11 | 25 |
| 10 | Luzern | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 40:43 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 26:57 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
