Result
4:1
15/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 36
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/378) | 84% (312/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/378) | 84% (312/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (77/115) | 75% (75/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hajdari A. (Own goal),
- 12', 1 - 1, Tsunemoto K. (Own goal),
- 38', 2 - 1, Varela K. ⚽, Crivelli E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Bislimi U. 🟨,
- 56', Vladi S. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 56', El Wafi A. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 62', Varela K. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 68', Grgic A. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 74', Antunes A. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
- 74', Crivelli E. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
- 77', Cimignani Y. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
- 77', Doumbia O. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 82', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 1, Kutesa D. ⚽,
- 84', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 1, Stevanovic M. ⚽, Cognat T. (A),
- 90+2', Stevanovic M. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Servette
48.6% | Draw
25% | Lugano
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Servette - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.88) |
3.77 ↓
(3.8) |
3.54 ↓
(3.55) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Servette - Lugano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Servette (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Servette will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette won 4.
- Servette has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lugano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Servette could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Servette: Rouiller S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Belhadj M.
(Knee Injury)
Marques M.
(Injury)
Saipi A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Servette: Magnin T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Servette won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Servette won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Lugano?
Servette has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Servette?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Servette - Lugano were as follows:
29.03.2025
Lugano
-
Servette
0:2
01.12.2024
Servette
-
Lugano
3:0
03.08.2024
Lugano
-
Servette
3:1
02.06.2024
Servette
-
Lugano
1:0
25.05.2024
Lugano
-
Servette
0:2
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lausanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Grasshoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Luzern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | St. Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
