Result
1:3
26/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 12
- Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/443) | 67% (179/266) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/443) | 67% (179/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (65/96) | 47% (32/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.55 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Okoroji C. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Koutsias G. ⚽, Doumbia O. (A),
- 36', Efekele M. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Boukhalfa C. ⚽, Vogt A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Okoroji C. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 46', Efekele M. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
- 46', Ambrosius S. 🟨,
- 48', Cimignani Y. 🟨,
- 53', Mai L. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 56', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 60', Cassano C. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 61', Koutsias G. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Daschner L. ⚽, Ambrosius S. (A),
- 70', Ambrosius S. ↓, Vallci A. ↑,
- 73', Vogt A. 🟨,
- 79', Cimignani Y. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
- 79', Dos Santos D. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 90+2', Vogt A. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
- 90+4', Daschner L. ↓, Quintilla J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Balde A. ⚽, Boukhalfa C. (A),
- 90+7', Marques M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
47.2% | Draw
25.8% | St. Gallen
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Lugano - St. Gallen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.09) |
3.66 ↓
(3.82) |
3.46 ↑
(3.14) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - St. Gallen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0.
- Lugano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, St. Gallen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Gallen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Injury)
Bottani M.
(Health problems)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Steffen R.
(Ribs Injury)
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Daschner L.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
Konietzke C.
(Ankle Injury)
Owusu E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Stanic J.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against St. Gallen?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Lugano?
St. Gallen has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - St. Gallen were as follows:
13.09.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
1:0
13.04.2025
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
05.02.2025
St. Gallen
-
Lugano
2:1
01.09.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
1:1
04.05.2024
Lugano
-
St. Gallen
0:1
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 27 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Lugano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Basel | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Sion | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 55:52 | 3 | 39 |
| 7 | Luzern | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 53:51 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 30:77 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
