Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 1
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
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9 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
76% (280/370) | 79% (245/312) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.19 | 0.81 |
Total shots |
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9 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 37 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 15 |
Passes |
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76% (280/370) | 79% (245/312) |
Long passes |
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56% (41/73) | 47% (25/53) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (81/120) | 64% (70/110) |
Crosses |
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24% (5/21) | 13% (2/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.50 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 26 |
Fouls |
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15 | 15 |
Tackles |
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67% (16/24) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
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65 | 57 |
Clearances |
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23 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.81 | 2.19 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.19 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Doumbia O. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 37', El Wafi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
- 60', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 60', Doumbia O. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 62', Brault-Guillard Z. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 66', Reichmuth N. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
- 66', Meichtry F. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
- 69', Brault-Guillard Z. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
- 71', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 74', Kelvin D. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 79', Heule M. ↓, Bamert J. ↑,
- 79', Roth J. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Bertone L. ⚽,
- 90+5', Steffen N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano 54% | Draw 24.2% | Thun 21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Lugano - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.56) |
3.89 ↓ (4.3) |
4.32 ↓ (5.02) |
6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Thun?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Thun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Thun (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Thun?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Lugano?
Thun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Thun were as follows:
11.07.2025
Lugano
-
Thun
2:4
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St. Gallen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
2 | Thun | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
3 | Sion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
4 | Basel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
5 | Young Boys | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
6 | Zurich | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
9 | Lugano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Servette | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
12 | Winterthur | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )