Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 1
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (280/370) | 79% (245/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (280/370) | 79% (245/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (41/73) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/120) | 64% (70/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Doumbia O. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 37', El Wafi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Bottani M. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
- 60', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 60', Doumbia O. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 62', Brault-Guillard Z. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 66', Reichmuth N. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
- 66', Meichtry F. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
- 69', Brault-Guillard Z. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
- 71', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 74', Kelvin D. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 79', Heule M. ↓, Bamert J. ↑,
- 79', Roth J. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Bertone L. ⚽,
- 90+5', Steffen N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
54% | Draw
24.2% | Thun
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Lugano - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.56) |
3.89 ↓
(4.3) |
4.32 ↓
(5.02) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Thun?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Thun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Thun (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Thun?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Lugano?
Thun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Thun were as follows:
11.07.2025
Lugano
-
Thun
2:4
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Luzern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zurich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Servette | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
