Lugano vs Thun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Lugano - Thun
Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 1
  • Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.67
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
76% (280/370)79% (245/312)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.81
Total shots
921
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2137
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
76% (280/370)79% (245/312)
Long passes
56% (41/73)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
68% (81/120)64% (70/110)
Crosses
24% (5/21)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.49
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
1515
Tackles
67% (16/24)75% (15/20)
Duels won
6557
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.812.19
Goals prevented
-1.191.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Doumbia O. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 37', El Wafi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', Bottani M. , Steffen R. ,
  • 60', Cimignani Y. , Alioski E. ,
  • 60', Doumbia O. , Belhadj M. ,
  • 62', Brault-Guillard Z. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
  • 66', Reichmuth N. , Matoshi V. ,
  • 66', Meichtry F. , Kait M. ,
  • 69', Brault-Guillard Z. , Zanotti M. ,
  • 71', Ibayi C. , Gutbub M. ,
  • 74', Kelvin D. , Dos Santos D. ,
  • 79', Heule M. , Bamert J. ,
  • 79', Roth J. , Janjicic V. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Bertone L. ,
  • 90+5', Steffen N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugano
54%
Draw
24.2%
Thun
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 21.7% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Lugano - Thun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.56)
    3.89
    (4.3)
    4.32
    (5.02)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Thun?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Thun will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Thun (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
    • Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lugano is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Thun were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Lugano - Thun 2:4
    Latest results of Lugano
    24.07.2025 Lugano - CFR Cluj 0:0
    19.07.2025 Lugano - Pro Vercelli 2:0
    11.07.2025 Lugano - Thun 2:4
    05.07.2025 Lugano - Rapperswil-Jona 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lugano - Young Boys 1:1
    Latest results of Thun
    19.07.2025 Thun - Aarau 4:1
    11.07.2025 Lugano - Thun 2:4
    04.07.2025 Sion - Thun 1:1
    21.06.2025 Thun - Kriens 3:4
    23.05.2025 Thun - Étoile Carouge 1:0
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Gallen330011:299
    2Thun33006:339
    3Sion32107:257
    4Basel42028:716
    5Young Boys41215:6-15
    6Zurich31115:504
    7Luzern31115:504
    8Lausanne31025:6-13
    9Lugano31024:7-33
    10Grasshoppers30124:6-21
    11Servette30123:8-51
    12Winterthur30123:9-61

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