Lugazi Municipal vs Bul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mungudit F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Ndugwa K. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Busolo P. ,

Chances of winning


Lugazi Municipal
27.7%
Draw
32.2%
Bul
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 29.9% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 29% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Bul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bul than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Lugazi Municipal - Bul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.91)
    2.78
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.29)
    11.6%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 7).
    • Lugazi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - Bul were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Bul - Lugazi Municipal 4:0
    03.01.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Bul 1:2
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Latest results of Bul
    23.01.2026 Bul - Villa 2:1
    07.01.2026 Calvary - Bul 0:1
    16.12.2025 Bul - Police 1:3
    13.12.2025 Vipers - Bul 3:1
    07.12.2025 Bul - Kampala City Council 1:2
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers23157143:152852
    2Kitara22145334:132147
    3Kampala City22143534:181645
    4Villa23136433:122145
    5Entebbe UPPC23117521:15640
    6Police23115734:27738
    7NEC FC22910324:16837
    8BUL2387825:22331
    9Maroons2278718:15329
    10Express2378822:23-129
    11URA SC23411819:24-523
    12Lugazi23481116:31-1520
    13UPDF23451417:31-1417
    14Mbarara City23371317:36-1916
    15Buhimba23431616:48-3215
    16Calvary2316169:36-279

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League