Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
- 90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lugazi Municipal
19.5% | Draw
29.4% | Kitara
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Kitara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Lugazi Municipal - Kitara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↑
(3.8) |
3.05 ↑
(3) |
1.75 ↓
(1.8) |
11.8%
(15.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).
- Recent form of Lugazi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kitara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kitara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kitara is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugazi Municipal won against Kitara?
Lugazi Municipal has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against Lugazi Municipal?
Kitara has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - Kitara were as follows:
30.10.2025
Kitara
-
Lugazi Municipal
4:0
15.04.2025
Kitara
-
Lugazi Municipal
0:0
14.09.2024
Lugazi Municipal
-
Kitara
0:3
Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
