NEC FC vs Lugazi Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, Sanyuka TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Kaye R. ,

Chances of winning


NEC FC
61.5%
Draw
24.3%
Lugazi Municipal
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 23.6% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 22.5% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.42)
    3.69
    (3.84)
    6.32
    (7.28)
    11.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • In recent matches, NEC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lugazi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, NEC is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, NEC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, NEC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
    01.03.2025 NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal 2:0
    30.10.2024 Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC 1:0
    Latest results of NEC FC
    16.12.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    05.12.2025 NEC FC - Vipers 1:1
    29.11.2025 Maroons - NEC FC 1:1
    25.11.2025 NEC FC - Calvary 1:0
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    17.12.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Vipers 1:2
    10.12.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Police 1:1
    05.12.2025 UPDF - Lugazi Municipal 2:0
    25.11.2025 Maroons - Lugazi Municipal 3:0
    20.11.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Express 0:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers17125037:92841
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1869320:16427
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1846815:24-918
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF18331212:26-1412
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League