NEC FC vs Lugazi Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Uganda Cup - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Odongo G. ,
  • 7', 2 - 0, Kayongo S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


NEC FC
59.2%
Draw
26.4%
Lugazi Municipal
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 27.7% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 26.2% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.57)
    3.42
    (3.25)
    6.25
    (6)
    10.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • NEC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lugazi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lugazi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, NEC is the team to beat.
    • We predict that NEC will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, NEC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC 0:2
    07.01.2026 NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal 1:0
    01.03.2025 NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal 2:0
    30.10.2024 Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC 1:0
    Latest results of NEC FC
    13.03.2026 Police - NEC FC 0:1
    10.03.2026 NEC FC - Entebbe UPPC 0:0
    06.03.2026 Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC 0:2
    03.03.2026 NEC FC - UPDF 1:0
    17.02.2026 Vipers - NEC FC 1:1
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1VillaMaroons1 : 0
    2NEC FCLugazi2 : 0
    3Kampala CityOnduparaka5 : 0
    4Happy BoySix Oclock1 : 0
    5KitaraBunyaruguru6 : 0
    6ExpressRed Devo4 : 0
    7VipersIganga United4 : 0
    8URA SCTapoh3 : 0