Lui Maxted vs Harry Wendelken – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
312
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
64%58%
1st serve points won
55% (30/55)74% (34/46)
2nd serve points won
39% (12/31)56% (19/34)
Break Points Saved
60% (9/15)70% (7/10)
1st return points won
26% (12/46)45% (25/55)
2nd return points won
44% (15/34)61% (19/31)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)40% (6/15)
Winners
2129
Unforced errors
4825
Net points won
71% (20/28)91% (10/11)
Service Points Won
49% (42/86)66% (53/80)
Return Points Won
34% (27/80)51% (44/86)
Total Points Won
42% (69/166)58% (97/166)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
30
Service games won
54% (7/13)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)46% (6/13)
Total games won
38% (10/26)62% (16/26)

Chances of winning


Lui Maxted
51.5%
Harry Wendelken
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.98)

    1.9
    (1.72)
    7.6%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maxted (votes: 1 - 50%). Wendelken (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Lui Maxted will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maxted is ranked ATP: 403. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 277.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maxted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken were as follows:
    29.01.2026 Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken 2:0
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    01.03.2026 James Story - Lui Maxted 0:2
    20.02.2026 Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Elias G. retired
    Latest results of Harry Wendelken
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2