Lui Maxted vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
09/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
70%63%
1st serve points won
65% (34/52)71% (30/42)
2nd serve points won
27% (6/22)48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
8/122/5
1st return points won
31% (13/42)35% (18/52)
2nd return points won
52% (13/25)73% (16/22)
Break Points Converted
3/54/12
Winners
1825
Unforced errors
2724
Net points won
72% (13/18)65% (20/31)
Service Points Won
54% (40/74)64% (42/66)
Return Points Won
36% (24/66)46% (34/74)
Total Points Won
46% (64/140)54% (76/140)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Lui Maxted
60.9%
Petr Nesterov
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lui Maxted that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Nesterov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lui Maxted - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.65)

    2.39
    (2.09)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Lui Maxted - Petr Nesterov?
  • Users Predictions: Lui Maxted will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maxted is ranked ATP: 403. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 477.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maxted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    2Makk P. (Q)Henning P.0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)Jubb P.0 : 2
    4Hussey G.Wendelken H. (7)0 : 2
    5Gentzsch T. (3)Berrettini J.2 : 1
    6Nesterov P. (Q)Jones M.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Iannaccone F. (Q)0 : 2
    8Mrva M.Kuzmanov D. (5)2 : 0
    9Pereira T. (6)Geerts M.0 : 2
    10Bernet H. (JR)Dostanic S.0 : 2
    11Barranco Cosano J. (RET.) (Q)Shelbayh A.0 : 1
    12Piraino G. (Alt)Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    13Bertrand R. (8)Langmo C. (Q)2 : 1
    14Xilas I. (WC)Rybakov A.0 : 2
    15Rincon D.Gadamauri B. (Q)2 : 1
    16Efstathiou M. (WC)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Henning P.2 : 1
    2Jubb P.Wendelken H. (7)2 : 0
    3Gentzsch T. (3)Nesterov P.0 : 2
    4Iannaccone F.Mrva M.1 : 2
    5Geerts M.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    6Shelbayh A.Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    7Bertrand R. (8)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    8Rincon D.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Jubb P.1 : 2
    2Nesterov P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dostanic S.Coppejans K. (4)2 : 0
    4Bertrand R. (8)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jubb P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    2Dostanic S.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Mrva M.Samuel T. (2)