Luka Pavlovic vs Eliakim Coulibaly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
172
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
65%58%
1st serve points won
82% (28/34)58% (21/36)
2nd serve points won
56% (10/18)62% (16/26)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (3/6)
1st return points won
42% (15/36)29% (10/34)
2nd return points won
38% (10/26)44% (8/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)0% (0/0)
Winners
296
Unforced errors
3619
Net points won
80% (4/5)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
74% (39/53)60% (37/62)
Return Points Won
40% (25/62)26% (14/53)
Total Points Won
56% (64/115)44% (51/115)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
70%
Eliakim Coulibaly
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Luka Pavlovic - Eliakim Coulibaly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)

    3.07
    (2.85)
    7.5%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Eliakim Coulibaly?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Coulibaly (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 211. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 293.
    • Pavlovic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Coulibaly is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Pavlovic is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Latest results of Eliakim Coulibaly
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0