Luka Pavlovic vs Guy Den Ouden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Kigali 2 Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Guy Den Ouden
Result
0:2
08/03/2025 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
59%68%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (21/32)91% (29/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (11/22)73% (11/15)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
9% (3/32)34% (11/32)
2nd Return Points Won
27% (4/15)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
59% (32/54)85% (40/47)
Return Points Won
15% (7/47)41% (22/54)
Total Points Won
39% (39/101)61% (62/101)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
47.1%
Guy Den Ouden
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luka Pavlovic - Guy Den Ouden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.79)

    1.77
    (1.9)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Guy Den Ouden?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 346. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 317.
    • Pavlovic in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Den Ouden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pavlovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Pavlovic to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Latest results of Guy Den Ouden
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (RET.) (1)Marti Pujolras A.0 : 1
    2Sanchez Jover C.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Neuchrist M. (WC)Tabur C.0 : 2
    4Picchione A. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (7)0 : 2
    5Royer V. (4)Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    6Agamenone F. (Q)Martin A. (WC)2 : 1
    7Schwaerzler J. J.Pennaforti G. (Q)0 : 2
    8Chazal M.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Jianu F. C. (8)Michalski D. (Q)1 : 2
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Janvier M.2 : 0
    12Pavlovic L. (Q)Taberner C. (3)2 : 0
    13Tomic B. (6)Ionel N. D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Den Ouden G. (Alt)Misolic F.2 : 0
    15Coulibaly E. (Alt)Denolly C.0 : 2
    16Erel Y. (Q)Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marti Pujolras A.Houkes M.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    3Royer V. (4)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Pennaforti G.Neumayer L. (5)2 : 0
    5Michalski D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Erhard M.Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    7Ionel N. D.Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    8Denolly C.Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Houkes M.Tabur C.2 : 0
    2Royer V. (4)Pennaforti G.2 : 0
    3Cecchinato M.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Den Ouden G.Hemery C. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Houkes M.Royer V. (4)0 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Den Ouden G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Royer V. (4)Den Ouden G.2 : 0