Luka Pavlovic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Olbia Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta
Result
1:2
16/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
49%79%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (28/41)75% (39/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (19/43)57% (8/14)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
25% (13/52)34% (14/41)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (6/14)56% (24/43)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
55% (46/84)71% (47/66)
Return Points Won
29% (19/66)45% (38/84)
Total Points Won
43% (65/150)57% (85/150)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
38% (9/24)63% (15/24)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
26.2%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 74.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (3.63)

    1.25
    (1.23)
    7.8%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 217. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123.
    • In recent matches, Pavlovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carreno Busta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carreno Busta is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tabilo A. (1)Carboni L. (Q)2 : 1
    2Glinka D. (Q)Tabur C. (Q)2 : 0
    3Galarneau A.Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    4Basile P. (WC)Carreno-Busta P. (6)1 : 2
    5Landaluce M. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    6Gojo B.Forti F. (WC)2 : 0
    7Molcan A.Gengel M. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Ribecai M. (Q)Lajovic D. (7)1 : 2
    9Carballes Baena R. (5)Fatic N.0 : 2
    10Added D.Caniato C. A. (WC)0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Q)Maestrelli F.2 : 1
    12Grenier H.Basavareddy N. (4)2 : 1
    13Echargui M. (8)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    14Paris T. (Q)Gea A. (NG)0 : 2
    15Travaglia S. (Alt)van Assche L.1 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (LL)Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Tabilo A. (1)Glinka D.2 : 1
    2Pavlovic L.Carreno-Busta P. (6)1 : 2
    3Landaluce M. (3)Gojo B.2 : 1
    4Molcan A.Lajovic D. (7)0 : 2
    5Fatic N.Caniato C. A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Grenier H.0 : 2
    7Butvilas E.Gea A.2 : 1
    8van Assche L.Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tabilo A. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (6)1 : 2
    2Landaluce M. (3)Lajovic D. (7)2 : 0
    3Fatic N.Grenier H.0 : 2
    4Butvilas E.van Assche L.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (6)Landaluce M. (3)
    2Grenier H.van Assche L.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2