Luka Pavlovic vs Pol Martin Tiffon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/03/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
55%60%
1st serve points won
89% (25/28)63% (17/27)
2nd serve points won
61% (14/23)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
1st return points won
37% (10/27)11% (3/28)
2nd return points won
44% (8/18)39% (9/23)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Winners
264
Unforced errors
1714
Net points won
75% (6/8)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
76% (39/51)60% (27/45)
Return Points Won
40% (18/45)24% (12/51)
Total Points Won
59% (57/96)41% (39/96)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
46%
Pol Martin Tiffon
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.85)

    1.71
    (1.83)
    8.2%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon?
  • Users Predictions: Pol Martin Tiffon will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pol Martin Tiffon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 256.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0