Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano
Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
203
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
49%57%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (33/42)84% (36/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (27/44)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
16% (7/43)21% (9/42)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (14/32)39% (17/44)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
70% (60/86)72% (54/75)
Return Points Won
28% (21/75)30% (26/86)
Total Points Won
50% (81/161)50% (80/161)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
92% (11/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
61.8%
Stefano Napolitano
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.53)

    2.42
    (2.37)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 312. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 251.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Pavlovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Pavlovic will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2