Result
2:1
11/06/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (46/59) | 67% (44/66) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 66% (23/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 22% (13/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 49% (21/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 30% (3/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (68/102) | 66% (67/101) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (34/101) | 33% (34/102) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (102/203) | 50% (101/203) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 53% (17/32) |
Chances of winning
Luka Pavlovic
62.5% | Taro Daniel
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Pavlovic's performance.Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.62) |
|
2.44 ↑
(2.11) |
7.9%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel?
Users Predictions:
Luka Pavlovic will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Daniel is ranked ATP: 153.
- In recent matches, Pavlovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daniel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pavlovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Taro Daniel?
Luka Pavlovic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Taro Daniel won against Luka Pavlovic?
Taro Daniel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel were as follows:
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Latest results of Taro Daniel
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sachko V. | Bondioli F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Durasovic V. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Maestrelli F. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nardi L. (3) | Purtseladze S. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ymer E. | Zeppieri G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marti Pujolras A. (LL) | Daniel T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Svrcina D. (5) | Rincon D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Tomic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | Fatic N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Sakamoto R. | Lajovic D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Wawrinka S. (6) | Albot R. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Basile P. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cecchinato M. (LL) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arnaboldi F. | Picchione A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Durasovic V. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Nardi L. (3) | Ymer E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pavlovic L. | Daniel T. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (5) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fatic N. | Lajovic D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Albot R. | Basile P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Arnaboldi F. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Passaro F. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nardi L. (3) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. | Arnaboldi F. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Nardi L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fatic N. | Basile P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 0 |
