Luka Pavlovic vs Taro Daniel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Perugia Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel
Result
2:1
11/06/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals
Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Aces
162
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
58%65%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (46/59)67% (44/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (22/43)66% (23/35)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (22/66)22% (13/59)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (12/35)49% (21/43)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
67% (68/102)66% (67/101)
Return Points Won
34% (34/101)33% (34/102)
Total Points Won
50% (102/203)50% (101/203)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
62.5%
Taro Daniel
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Pavlovic's performance.
  • Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)

    2.44
    (2.11)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Taro Daniel?
  • Users Predictions: Luka Pavlovic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Daniel is ranked ATP: 153.
    • In recent matches, Pavlovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Daniel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pavlovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Latest results of Taro Daniel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    2Sachko V.Bondioli F. (Q)1 : 2
    3Durasovic V.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Maestrelli F.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    5Nardi L. (3)Purtseladze S. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Ymer E.Zeppieri G. (WC)2 : 0
    7Carboni L. (WC)Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A. (LL)Daniel T. (8)1 : 2
    9Svrcina D. (5)Rincon D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Travaglia S. (Alt)Tomic B.2 : 0
    11Roca Batalla O. (Q)Fatic N. (Q)1 : 2
    12Sakamoto R.Lajovic D. (4)0 : 2
    13Wawrinka S. (6)Albot R.0 : 2
    14Basile P. (Q)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Cecchinato M. (LL)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    16Arnaboldi F.Picchione A. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    2Durasovic V.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    3Nardi L. (3)Ymer E.2 : 0
    4Pavlovic L.Daniel T. (8)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (5)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    6Fatic N.Lajovic D. (4)2 : 0
    7Albot R.Basile P.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R.Arnaboldi F.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Passaro F. (7)2 : 0
    2Nardi L. (3)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    3Svrcina D. (5)Fatic N.0 : 2
    4Basile P.Arnaboldi F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Nardi L. (3)2 : 0
    2Fatic N.Basile P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Fatic N.2 : 0
    X
    bet365
    advertisement