Lukas Neumayer vs Alex Rybakov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
67%70%
1st serve points won
66% (27/41)50% (21/42)
2nd serve points won
45% (9/20)72% (13/18)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)29% (2/7)
1st return points won
52% (22/42)39% (16/41)
2nd return points won
28% (5/18)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)43% (3/7)
Winners
1219
Unforced errors
3528
Net points won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
56% (34/61)56% (33/59)
Return Points Won
44% (26/59)44% (27/61)
Total Points Won
50% (60/120)50% (60/120)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Lukas Neumayer
72.5%
Alex Rybakov
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.
  • Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.53)

    3.41
    (2.33)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Neumayer is ranked ATP: 230. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 304.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rybakov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neumayer is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lukas Neumayer
    Latest results of Alex Rybakov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2