Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Gea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
64%57%
1st serve points won
50% (38/76)68% (42/62)
2nd serve points won
58% (25/43)40% (19/47)
Break Points Saved
8/1512/18
1st return points won
32% (20/62)50% (38/76)
2nd return points won
60% (28/47)42% (18/43)
Break Points Converted
6/187/15
Winners
3932
Unforced errors
5649
Net points won
65% (11/17)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
53% (63/119)56% (61/109)
Return Points Won
44% (48/109)47% (56/119)
Total Points Won
49% (111/228)51% (117/228)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Return games won
40% (6/15)44% (7/16)
Total games won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Lukas Neumayer
36%
Arthur Gea
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 64.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Lukas Neumayer - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.96)

    1.47
    (1.35)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Lukas Neumayer - Arthur Gea?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gea will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neumayer is ranked ATP: 227. Gea is ranked ATP: 144.
    • Neumayer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lukas Neumayer
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    12.03.2026 Sean Cuenin - Arthur Gea Cuenin S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0