Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
64%57%
1st serve points won
63% (19/30)42% (14/33)
2nd serve points won
59% (10/17)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
1/35/11
1st return points won
58% (19/33)37% (11/30)
2nd return points won
56% (14/25)41% (7/17)
Break Points Converted
6/112/3
Winners
1315
Unforced errors
1540
Service Points Won
61% (28/46)43% (25/58)
Return Points Won
57% (33/58)39% (18/46)
Total Points Won
59% (61/104)41% (43/104)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (6/8)33% (3/9)
Return games won
67% (6/9)25% (2/8)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Lukas Neumayer
45.3%
Toby Samuel
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukas Neumayer's form might have worsened.
  • Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lukas Neumayer - Toby Samuel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.8)

    1.71
    (1.89)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Lukas Neumayer - Toby Samuel?
  • Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lukas Neumayer will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neumayer is ranked ATP: 224. Samuel is ranked ATP: 172.
    • Neumayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Samuel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lukas Neumayer
    Latest results of Toby Samuel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.2 : 0
    2Poljicak M.Giustino L. (7)2 : 1
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.0 : 2
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)2 : 0
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.0 : 2
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ribecai M.Poljicak M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Coppejans K.Sachko V. (5)1 : 2
    3Dalla Valle E.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    4Gill F.Krumich M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ribecai M.Sachko V. (5)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L.Gill F. (RET.)1 : 0

    Final
    1Ribecai M.Neumayer L.1 : 2