Result
6:5
07/05/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Night 14 - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Luke Littler
71.7% | Michael Van Gerwen
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luke Littler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Littler that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Van Gerwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.32) |
|
3.31 ↑
(3.25) |
6.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
Preview Facts
- Littler is ranked World Ranking: 1. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Littler won 2.
- Littler is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Van Gerwen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Littler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Littler is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Littler won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 79:60. (average 5.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Luke Littler won against Michael Van Gerwen?
Luke Littler has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Van Gerwen won against Luke Littler?
Michael Van Gerwen has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen were as follows:
19.02.2026
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Luke Littler
Littler L.
24.04.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Luke Littler
6:5
06.03.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Luke Littler
2:6
13.02.2025
Luke Littler
-
Michael Van Gerwen
6:2
06.02.2025
Luke Littler
-
Michael Van Gerwen
5:6
Latest results of Luke Littler
Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
