Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Featherweight UFC Men
Result
Riley L. win
21/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+

Chances of winning


Luke Riley
64.9%		Michael Aswell
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Riley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Michael Aswell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
    •

    Luke Riley - Michael Aswell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↑
    (1.38)
    		2.73 ↓
    (3.04)    		 5.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Riley might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The fighters have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luke Riley
    22.11.2025 Bogdan Grad - Luke Riley Riley L. - 2nd Round KO
    15.03.2025 Luke Riley - Tariel Abbasov Riley L. - 2nd Round TKO
    21.09.2024 Luke Riley - Alexandre Junior Riley L. - 1st Round KO
    16.03.2024 Luke Riley - John de Jesus Riley L. win
    29.09.2023 Luke Riley - Alexander Lööf Riley L. - 3rd Round TKO
    Latest results of Michael Aswell
    11.10.2025 Lucas Almeida - Michael Aswell Aswell M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
    31.05.2025 Bolaji Oki - Michael Aswell Oki B. win
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