Luki-Energiya vs Baltika Kaliningrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
25/09/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Spodarets D. (Pen),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Alex Fernandes ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 3)
  • 1, Spodarets D. (Pen),
  • 1, Nikishin K. (Pen),
  • 2, Polyakov N. (Pen),
  • 2, Stefanovich I. (Pen),
  • 3, Mayboroda M. (Pen),
  • 3, Zazvonkin I. (Pen),
  • 4, Butakov E. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luki-Energiya
6.6%
Draw
14.8%
Baltika Kaliningrad
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 21.3% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 20.6% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luki-Energiya's form might have worsened.
  • Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luki-Energiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luki-Energiya - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14
    (7.75)
    6.25
    (4.35)
    1.18
    (1.39)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Luki-Energiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Baltika is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luki-Energiya
    Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar