Result
8:3
13/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.45 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 15.79% (3/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.21% (16/19) | 75% (24/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 16.67% (1/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (5/6) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 42.62 | 57.38 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:54, 1 - 0, Ruohomaa M. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 04:51, Olsson A. (2 min),
- 05:23, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- 05:49, 1 - 1, Ylitalo O. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
- 10:23, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
- 10:23, Almari N. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 1)
- 06:00, 2 - 1, Hamalainen L. (G), Morand A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
- 07:02, 3 - 1, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Po. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 14:05, 4 - 1, Almari N. (G), Hamalainen L. (A),
- 15:31, Boelius L. (2 min),
- 18:36, 4 - 2, Tiivola P. (G), Boelius L. (A),
- 19:06, 5 - 2, Olsson A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:01, Raanta A. ↓, Salonen D. ↑,
- 01:47, 6 - 2, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Po. (A),
- 04:41, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 07:57, 6 - 3, Knihti F. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
- 09:10, 7 - 3, Beaucage A. (G), Krannila J. (A), Almari N. (A2)
- 14:29, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
- 14:29, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 17:13, 8 - 3, Hamalainen L. (G), Morand A. (A),
- 18:54, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 18:54, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
58.2% | Draw
20.6% | Ässät
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.86) |
4.44 ↑
(4.35) |
4.33 ↑
(3.44) |
7.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- Lukko is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ässät has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ässät has had a series of home games.
- Lukko will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 64:32. (average 3.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:11. (average 3.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Ässät?
Lukko has won 20 of their last 30 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Lukko?
Ässät has won 10 of their last 30 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Ässät were as follows:
12.12.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
1:5
25.10.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
3:2
24.10.2025
Lukko
-
Ässät
5:3
21.08.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
1:7
16.08.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
0:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
