Result
1:3
26/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.96 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.56% (1/18) | 13.64% (3/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.36% (19/22) | 94.44% (17/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 61.82 | 38.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 06:48, 0 - 1, Ashbrook T. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Josling S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:33, 0 - 2, Larsen O. (G), Palmu P. (A),
- 05:08, 1 - 2, Saarela A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A),
- 18:25, 1 - 3, Lundell K. (G),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:34, Karjalainen J. (2 min),
- 14:44, (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
63.5% | Draw
19.5% | HIFK
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49
(1.49) |
4.73 ↑
(4.62) |
5.46 ↓
(5.92) |
6.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lukko is the team to beat.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 52:48. (average 2.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 2.1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HIFK?
Lukko has won 10 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Lukko?
HIFK has won 9 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - HIFK were as follows:
17.09.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
12.02.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
31.01.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:4
04.12.2024
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:7
27.09.2024
Lukko
-
HIFK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
