Result
6:2
30/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.89 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 31.58% (6/19) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 68.42% (13/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 40% (2/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 69.39 | 30.61 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 11:46, 1 - 0, Tuuva L. (G), Morand A. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 13:40, 1 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Lindbohm P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:06, 2 - 1, Stenqvist J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 10:05, Nykyri N. (2 min),
- 14:21, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (4 - 1)
- 03:38, 3 - 1, Beaucage A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Raanta A. (A2)
- 06:20, Joki A. (2 min),
- 09:09, 3 - 2, Lindbohm P. (G), Ervasti K. (A),
- 13:21, Nykyri N. (2 min),
- 17:19, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 17:58, 4 - 2, Stenqvist J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Almari N. (A2)
- 18:58, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 19:09, 5 - 2, Beaucage A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 19:46, 6 - 2, Stenqvist J. (G), Saarela A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
48.1% | Draw
22.7% | HIFK
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2) |
4.04 ↑
(3.78) |
3.19 ↓
(3.28) |
7.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- Lukko has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- HIFK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
- Lukko could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 52:46. (average 2.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HIFK?
Lukko has won 10 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Lukko?
HIFK has won 10 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - HIFK were as follows:
26.11.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:3
17.09.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
12.02.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
31.01.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:4
04.12.2024
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:7
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 45 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 169:110 | 91 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 45 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 108:148 | 60 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
