Result
0:4
13/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 2.01 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/27) | 19.05% (4/21) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 100% (27/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 36.96 | 63.04 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 01:48, 0 - 1, Haapanen T. (G), Saarela A. (A), Gelinas E. (A2)
- 07:57, 0 - 2, Morand A. (G), Tuuva L. (A),
- 08:48, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 08:48, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 12:33, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
- 12:33, Peters A. (2 min),
- 14:28, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:52, Olsson A. (2 min),
- 18:23, Sund T. (2 min),
- 19:02, 0 - 3, Westerholm Po. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:48, Almari N. (2 min),
- 16:28, 0 - 4, Krannila J. (G),
Chances of winning
HIFK
39.4% | Draw
24.5% | Lukko
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)The ML Model estimate for HIFK aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
HIFK - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.6) |
3.74 ↑
(3.7) |
2.58 ↑
(2.4) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 50%). Lukko (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
- Recent performances by HIFK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lukko is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 48:56. (average 2.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.6:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Lukko?
HIFK has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HIFK?
Lukko has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Lukko were as follows:
30.01.2026
Lukko
-
HIFK
6:2
26.11.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:3
17.09.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
12.02.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
31.01.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
