Result
1:5
17/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 3.22 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 17.86% (5/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.14% (23/28) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 39.34 | 60.66 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 04:13, 0 - 1, Westerholm Po. (G), Viitasalo N. (A), Olsson A. (A2)
- 06:49, 0 - 2, Viitasalo N. (G), Saarela A. (A), Joki A. (A2)
- 07:40, 0 - 3, Hamalainen L. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 07:40, Hovinen N. ↓, Kohonen P. ↑,
- 09:01, Jalasti B. (2 min),
- 16:36, Ervasti K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:57, Raanta A. ↓, Salonen D. ↑,
- 04:14, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 08:06, Palmu P. (2 min),
- 10:04, Sinivuori L. (2 min),
- 12:04, 0 - 4, Stenqvist J. (G), Morand A. (A), Tuuva L. (A2)
- 18:33, 0 - 5, Ruohomaa M. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Peters A. (A2)
- 19:09, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:44, Morand A. (2 min),
- 07:21, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- 07:50, Repo S. (Penalty Shot),
- 10:47, 1 - 5, Marleau V. (G),
- 14:38, Palmu P. (2 min),
Chances of winning
HIFK
26.9% | Draw
21.5% | Lukko
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for HIFK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
HIFK - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.5) |
4.48 ↑
(4.3) |
1.82 ↓
(1.84) |
4.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, HIFK has had a series of away games.
- Lukko could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 47:47. (average 2.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Lukko?
HIFK has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HIFK?
Lukko has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Lukko were as follows:
12.02.2025
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:5
31.01.2025
Lukko
-
HIFK
1:4
04.12.2024
HIFK
-
Lukko
1:7
27.09.2024
Lukko
-
HIFK
2:3
24.01.2024
HIFK
-
Lukko
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
