Pelicans vs Lukko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Pelicans - Lukko
Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.542.30
Shots on Goal
2524
Shots off target
1318
Shooting PCT
8% (2/25)0% (0/24)
Blocked Shots
39
Goalkeeper Saves
2423
Saves PCT
100% (24/24)92% (23/25)
Penalties
65
PIM
1218
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (6/6)100% (5/5)
Faceoffs Won
2231
Faceoffs %
41.5158.49
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:44, Olsson A. (2 min),
  • 08:11, Rantakari O. (2 min),
  • 19:51, 1 - 0, Karvinen R. (G), Rantakari O. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:29, Zetterberg L. (2 min),
  • 12:11, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Gelinas E. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Forsberg C. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:42, Luhanka E. (2 min),
  • 03:42, Bartosak P. (2 min),
  • 06:22, Karvinen R. (2 min),
  • 10:11, 2 - 0, Zetterberg L. (G), Forsberg C. (A), Carlsson P. (A2)
  • 19:30, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Pelicans
29.1%
Draw
23.4%
Lukko
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 22.6% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 21.9% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Pelicans - Lukko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.83)
    4
    (4.14)
    2
    (2.11)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    What is the prediction for Pelicans - Lukko?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 3.
    • Pelicans has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lukko is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
    • Lukko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:46. (average 2.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 2.9:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Lukko were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Pelicans - Lukko 2:5
    21.12.2024 Lukko - Pelicans 2:5
    02.11.2024 Lukko - Pelicans 1:3
    20.09.2024 Pelicans - Lukko 0:4
    02.03.2024 Pelicans - Lukko 3:1
    Latest results of Pelicans
    04.10.2025 KooKoo - Pelicans 5:2
    03.10.2025 Pelicans - KalPa 0:1
    01.10.2025 Kärpät - Pelicans 2:3
    27.09.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 2:5
    26.09.2025 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    Latest results of Lukko
    10.10.2025 Lukko - JYP 4:2
    07.10.2025 Lukko - EV Zug 1:0
    04.10.2025 Lukko - Ilves 1:0
    02.10.2025 Lukko - KooKoo 3:1
    30.09.2025 Tappara - Lukko 4:0
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )