Result
4:3 OT
13/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 2.44 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (4/28) | 16.67% (3/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (15/18) | 85.71% (24/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 00:42, 0 - 1, Stapley B. (G),
- 05:11, 1 - 1, Ikonen H. (G), Intonen A. (A), Haapanen T. (A2)
- 05:46, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 06:02, 2 - 1, Beaucage A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 06:37, Peters A. (2 min),
- 06:37, Stapley B. (2 min),
- 07:44, Ikonen H. (2 min),
- 11:54, 3 - 1, Westerholm Po. (G), Joki A. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 14:09, Batna O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 16:39, 3 - 2, Luhanka E. (G), Jordan M. (A), Carlsson P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 06:07, 3 - 3, Nieminen D. (G),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 01:24, 4 - 3, Gelinas E. (G), Morand A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
62.2% | Draw
19.8% | Pelicans
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Lukko - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.54) |
4.65 ↓
(4.85) |
5.14 ↑
(4.96) |
7.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Lukko - Pelicans?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pelicans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 44:49. (average 2.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Pelicans?
Lukko has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Lukko?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Pelicans were as follows:
27.12.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
1:5
11.10.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
2:0
08.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
2:5
21.12.2024
Lukko
-
Pelicans
2:5
02.11.2024
Lukko
-
Pelicans
1:3
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
