Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Caccavo L. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 39', D'Alessio L. 🟨,
- 45', Rocca M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pagliari M. ↓, De Marino D. ↑,
- 46', D'Alessio L. ↓, Agyemang G. ↑,
- 46', Khailoti O. 🟨,
- 57', Donadio C. 🟨,
- 62', Deratti J. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
- 62', Iori M. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
- 63', Rolando M. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 66', De Marino D. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
- 68', Donadio C. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 68', Alberti T. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Ferro M. ⚽,
- 78', Ledonne N. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 83', Motta M. 🟨,
- 87', Khailoti O. ↓, Citi A. ↑,
- 90', Cannavaro A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Lumezzane
34.9% | Draw
31.1% | Novara
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lumezzane - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.79) |
2.97 ↓
(3.2) |
2.72 ↑
(2.38) |
8.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lumezzane - Novara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lumezzane will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Novara (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 0.
- Lumezzane is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Novara?
Lumezzane has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Lumezzane?
Novara has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Novara were as follows:
11.04.2025
Lumezzane
-
Novara
2:2
01.12.2024
Novara
-
Lumezzane
0:0
30.03.2024
Novara
-
Lumezzane
1:1
26.11.2023
Lumezzane
-
Novara
1:1
Latest results of Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 29:17 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 17 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
