Casino Ginásio vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese Proliga Basketball Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia
Result
92:95
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Proliga - Losers stage - Round 14

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6873
Field Goals Made
3535
Field Goals %
51.5%47.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3640
2-Point Field Goals Made
2722
2-Point Field Goals %
75%55%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3233
3-Point Field Goals Made
813
3-Point Field Goals %
25%39.4%
Free Throws Attempted
2218
Free Throws Made
1412
Free Throws %
63.6%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
1213
Defensive Rebounds
2927
Total Rebounds
4140
Assists
1723
Blocks
21
Turnovers
1113
Steals
69
Personal Fouls
1814

Chances of winning


Casino Ginásio
40.1%
Lusitânia
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casino Ginásio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casino Ginásio's form might have worsened.
  • Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitânia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casino Ginásio than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casino Ginásio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.96)

    1.53
    (1.68)
    8.8%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ginásio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lusitânia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Lusitânia will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ginásio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 106:102.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Lusitânia - Casino Ginásio 102:106
    Latest results of Casino Ginásio
    25.04.2025 Maia - Casino Ginásio 88:74
    18.04.2025 Benfica B - Casino Ginásio 80:78
    05.04.2025 Casino Ginásio - Sampaense 83:79
    29.03.2025 Barreirense - Casino Ginásio 83:78
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    26.04.2025 Lusitânia - Benfica B 85:73
    19.04.2025 Sampaense - Lusitânia 84:103
    05.04.2025 Lusitânia - Barreirense 94:82
    30.03.2025 Santo André - Lusitânia 70:74
    23.03.2025 Lusitânia - Clube Galitos 85:71
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vasco Da Gama (2)CAB Madeira (3)2 : 1
    2Braga (1)CB Queluz (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Vasco Da Gama (2)CB Queluz (4)2 : 1