Maia vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:81
27/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Proliga - Round 12

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6464
Field Goals Made
2728
Field Goals %
42.19%43.75%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3646
2-Point Field Goals Made
1723
2-Point Field Goals %
47.22%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2818
3-Point Field Goals Made
105
3-Point Field Goals %
35.71%27.78%
Free Throws Attempted
2528
Free Throws Made
2120
Free Throws %
84%71.4%
Offensive Rebounds
1713
Defensive Rebounds
2519
Total Rebounds
4232
Assists
1613
Blocks
25
Turnovers
136
Steals
37
Personal Fouls
2318

Chances of winning


Maia
65.9%
Lusitânia
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maia - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.48)

    2.7
    (2.34)
    8.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 154.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maia won 2.
    • Maia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lusitânia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1132:1213. (average 75.5:80.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 467:496. (average 77.8:82.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maia - Lusitânia were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Lusitânia - Maia 69:65
    16.03.2025 Maia - Lusitânia 93:86
    25.01.2025 Lusitânia - Maia 82:69
    09.12.2023 Lusitânia - Maia 76:82
    Latest results of Maia
    13.12.2025 Maia - Sampaense 79:68
    08.12.2025 Povoa - Maia 105:73
    07.12.2025 Académica Coimbra - Maia 59:88
    22.11.2025 Maia - Illiabum 71:64
    15.11.2025 Maia - Alianca Sangalhos 110:66
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    13.12.2025 Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia 71:100
    08.12.2025 Alianca Sangalhos - Lusitânia 74:100
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Illiabum 64:65
    30.11.2025 Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia 81:73
    22.11.2025 Lusitânia - Sampaense 87:46
    Portuguese Proliga Basketball Table
    Losers stage
    PlWLPts
    1Galomar191091613:155729
    2Lusitania181081443:135428
    3Sampaense18991279:137327
    4Benfica Lisboa B197121343:137926
    5Santo Andre196131410:150325
    6Sangalhos193161330:163622
    7CB Queluz182161251:153220
    8Academica181171124:146319

          Relegation